Detroit Tigers
45% win
4
pred 3.8
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
55% win
11
pred 4.8
2025-05-19 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Sean Guenther SP 15.8 $4.0k 3.9
Akil Baddoo OF 6.7 $2.0k 3.4
Colt Keith OF 7.1 $3.1k 2.3
Masyn Winn OF 8.4 $3.8k 2.2
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.2 $4.2k 2.2
Trey Sweeney OF 6.8 $3.3k 2.1
Sonny Gray SP 18.2 $9.0k 2.0
Zach McKinstry OF 7.3 $3.9k 1.9
Lars Nootbaar OF 9.0 $5.0k 1.8
Riley Greene OF 7.9 $4.4k 1.8
Brendan Donovan OF 7.8 $4.5k 1.7
Gleyber Torres OF 8.5 $4.9k 1.7
Dillon Dingler OF 6.6 $3.8k 1.7
Spencer Torkelson OF 7.9 $4.8k 1.6
Pedro Pagés OF 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Alec Burleson OF 4.8 $3.3k 1.5
Willson Contreras OF 5.4 $3.8k 1.4
Nolan Arenado OF 5.4 $3.9k 1.4
Victor Scott II OF 4.8 $4.0k 1.2
Iván Herrera OF 5.4 $4.8k 1.1
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 0.5 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
DET 45% 55% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.0% 20.0%
6.5 73.3% 26.7%
7.5 63.3% 36.7%
8.5 55.4% 44.6%
9.5 43.8% 56.2%
10.5 36.3% 63.7%
11.5 28.7% 71.3%
12.5 22.5% 77.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversDET covers
STL -1.5 32.3% 40.1%
STL -2.5 23.1% 29.5%
STL -3.5 15.4% 22.6%
Team Totals
LineSTLDET
O 3.5 57.8% 63.6%
O 4.5 45.8% 50.5%
O 5.5 32.9% 37.4%
O 6.5 23.1% 28.3%
Odds
moneyline STL 55% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookDETImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs DET 3.8 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 3.8 + 1.5 = 5.3 vs STL 4.8 BET ✗
BookDETSTL
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -102 U 8.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.2 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Colt Keith 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Akil Baddoo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sean Guenther Starter 4.0 3.1 3.8 1.4 1.8 15% 100% 15.8 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.0 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.8 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.4 —
Iván Herrera C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.4 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.0 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.8 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 4.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sonny Gray Starter 5.9 6.3 6.0 2.1 3.2 44% 100% 18.2 —