Baltimore Orioles
47% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
53% win
5
pred 3.8
2025-05-19 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Rob Zastryzny SP 17.1 $4.0k 4.3
Andruw Monasterio OF 6.5 $2.2k 2.9
Isaac Collins OF 6.8 $2.5k 2.7
Dylan Carlson OF 5.4 $2.0k 2.7
Ryan Mountcastle OF 9.3 $3.5k 2.7
Maverick Handley OF 5.3 $2.0k 2.6
Jackson Holliday OF 8.7 $3.4k 2.6
Caleb Durbin OF 6.4 $2.9k 2.2
Rhys Hoskins OF 8.4 $3.9k 2.2
William Contreras OF 9.1 $4.3k 2.1
Dean Kremer SP 14.1 $7.0k 2.0
Ramón Laureano OF 6.1 $3.1k 2.0
Gunnar Henderson OF 9.1 $4.7k 1.9
Ramón Urías OF 5.8 $3.0k 1.9
Christian Yelich OF 8.2 $4.3k 1.9
Brice Turang OF 7.9 $4.6k 1.7
Sal Frelick OF 6.0 $3.7k 1.6
Jackson Chourio OF 8.0 $5.3k 1.5
Ryan O'Hearn OF 6.1 $4.1k 1.5
Cedric Mullins OF 5.4 $4.5k 1.2
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 0.9 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+428 · $428 per $100
LOSS
BAL 47% 53% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.0% 18.0%
6.5 75.0% 25.0%
7.5 65.1% 34.9%
8.5 57.7% 42.3%
9.5 48.8% 51.2%
10.5 41.0% 59.0%
11.5 31.6% 68.4%
12.5 25.6% 74.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversBAL covers
MIL -1.5 35.0% 38.6%
MIL -2.5 24.4% 29.7%
MIL -3.5 15.7% 21.7%
Team Totals
LineMILBAL
O 3.5 62.6% 63.8%
O 4.5 49.2% 51.2%
O 5.5 36.8% 38.8%
O 6.5 25.4% 30.2%
Odds
moneyline MIL 53% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookBALImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs MIL 3.8 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 3.8 + 1.5 = 5.3 vs BAL 4.4 BET ✓
BookBALMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.3 —
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Ramón Laureano RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.1 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.8 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 5.4 —
Dylan Carlson LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.4 —
Maverick Handley C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dean Kremer Starter 6.0 5.4 5.8 2.4 3.2 47% 100% 14.1 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
William Contreras C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Jackson Chourio LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.8 —
Andruw Monasterio SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 6.4 —
Sal Frelick RF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rob Zastryzny Starter 5.2 4.8 5.2 2.1 2.8 45% 100% 17.1 —