Cleveland Guardians
47% win
5
pred 4.1
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
53% win
6
pred 3.8
2025-05-19 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jonah Bride OF 8.0 $2.5k 3.2
Will Brennan OF 6.3 $2.0k 3.1
Carson McCusker OF 5.8 $2.0k 2.9
Brooks Lee OF 8.6 $3.0k 2.9
Nolan Jones OF 7.4 $2.7k 2.7
Ryan Jeffers OF 9.6 $3.6k 2.7
Ty France OF 8.7 $3.5k 2.5
Angel Martínez OF 7.7 $3.1k 2.5
Bo Naylor OF 7.4 $3.0k 2.5
Harrison Bader OF 7.8 $3.4k 2.3
Willi Castro OF 7.1 $3.2k 2.2
Carlos Santana OF 7.9 $3.7k 2.2
Trevor Larnach OF 8.0 $3.9k 2.0
Royce Lewis OF 8.3 $4.1k 2.0
Logan Allen SP 13.1 $6.5k 2.0
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.4 $4.2k 2.0
Bailey Ober SP 15.9 $8.2k 1.9
Steven Kwan OF 7.8 $4.5k 1.7
Gabriel Arias OF 6.5 $3.9k 1.7
José Ramírez OF 8.2 $5.7k 1.4
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+401 · $401 per $100
WIN
CLE 47% 53% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.9% 15.1%
6.5 77.8% 22.2%
7.5 66.9% 33.1%
8.5 58.1% 41.9%
9.5 48.2% 51.8%
10.5 40.4% 59.6%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 24.2% 75.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversCLE covers
MIN -1.5 43.4% 32.4%
MIN -2.5 30.3% 22.7%
MIN -3.5 21.3% 16.3%
Team Totals
LineMINCLE
O 3.5 68.3% 61.0%
O 4.5 54.8% 46.5%
O 5.5 40.9% 34.3%
O 6.5 30.2% 23.9%
Odds
moneyline MIN 53% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookCLEImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CLE 4.1 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs MIN 3.8 BET ✓
BookCLEMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -102 U 7.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 8.2 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.8 —
Angel Martínez CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Will Brennan LF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Allen Starter 5.6 5.1 6.2 2.2 3.4 39% 100% 13.1 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Jeffers C 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.6 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.7 —
Brooks Lee 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Royce Lewis 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Carson McCusker LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Ober Starter 6.2 5.6 6.2 1.9 3.1 56% 100% 15.9 —