New York Mets
48% win
1
pred 4.2
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
52% win
3
pred 5.4
2025-05-19 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Sogard OF 6.7 $2.5k 2.7
Brett Baty OF 8.4 $3.3k 2.5
Mark Vientos OF 9.0 $3.6k 2.5
Tyrone Taylor OF 7.4 $3.0k 2.5
David Hamilton OF 6.4 $2.6k 2.5
Jeff McNeil OF 8.3 $3.5k 2.4
Francisco Alvarez OF 8.3 $3.5k 2.4
Juan Soto OF 12.3 $5.4k 2.3
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.6 $4.3k 2.2
Carlos Narváez OF 6.8 $3.4k 2.0
Pete Alonso OF 11.5 $5.8k 2.0
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.6 $4.4k 2.0
Rafael Devers OF 8.9 $4.7k 1.9
Francisco Lindor OF 10.5 $5.6k 1.9
Trevor Story OF 6.9 $3.9k 1.8
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 5.9 $3.3k 1.8
Kodai Senga SP 16.7 $9.5k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 8.4 $4.9k 1.7
Alex Bregman OF 8.9 $5.5k 1.6
Hunter Dobbins SP 10.7 $7.5k 1.4
Best Bets
Boston Red Sox
ML ★ · +6.4% edge
+110 · $100 bet · $110 profit
Model: 52% vs Market: 46%
WIN
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 46%
+110 · $110 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.8 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+572 · $572 per $100
LOSS
NYM 48% 52% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 78.8% 21.2%
7.5 70.4% 29.6%
8.5 62.6% 37.4%
9.5 52.9% 47.1%
10.5 45.8% 54.2%
11.5 36.5% 63.5%
12.5 29.4% 70.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversNYM covers
BOS -1.5 32.0% 41.8%
BOS -2.5 23.0% 32.2%
BOS -3.5 15.9% 25.4%
Team Totals
LineBOSNYM
O 3.5 62.0% 69.4%
O 4.5 48.5% 56.6%
O 5.5 37.1% 46.0%
O 6.5 25.2% 33.8%
Odds
moneyline BOS 52% · +110 · $110 per $100
BookNYMImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs BOS 5.4 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.4 + 1.5 = 6.9 vs NYM 4.2 BET ✓
BookNYMBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -112 U 9.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 12.3 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 11.5 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 10.5 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.6 —
Mark Vientos 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.0 —
Brett Baty 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 8.3 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.3 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 7.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kodai Senga Starter 5.8 6.2 5.6 2.5 3.0 52% 100% 16.7 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.9 —
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.9 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.6 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Trevor Story SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 6.9 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Nick Sogard 2B 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 6.4 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Dobbins Starter 5.7 5.2 6.5 1.7 3.6 42% 100% 10.7 —