New York Mets
50% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
New York Yankees
50% win
8
pred 3.7
2025-05-18 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
New York Mets +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + New York Mets +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+413 · $413 per $100
LOSS
NYM 50% 50% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.7% 16.3%
6.5 77.1% 22.9%
7.5 65.8% 34.2%
8.5 57.7% 42.3%
9.5 47.1% 52.9%
10.5 39.6% 60.4%
11.5 31.8% 68.2%
12.5 25.9% 74.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversNYM covers
NYY -1.5 39.9% 32.6%
NYY -2.5 28.2% 23.9%
NYY -3.5 20.2% 16.5%
Team Totals
LineNYYNYM
O 3.5 67.4% 61.0%
O 4.5 52.3% 45.7%
O 5.5 40.4% 34.1%
O 6.5 29.4% 23.3%
Odds
moneyline NYY 50% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookNYMImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +140 40.1% -166 59.9%
runline New York Mets +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs NYM 4.8 no bet
NYM +1.5: NYM 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs NYY 3.7 BET ✗
BookNYMNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -148 -1.5 +124
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -122 U 8.5 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.0 9.4 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.2 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
David Peterson Starter 5.8 5.9 6.0 2.6 3.5 41% 100% 11.3 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 11.3 —
Trent Grisham CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.5 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.3 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.2 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
DJ LeMahieu 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Fried Starter 6.2 5.9 5.9 2.2 3.1 53% 100% 16.0 —