Minnesota Twins
50% win
2
pred 4.4
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
50% win
5
pred 3.9
2025-05-18 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. OF 5.4 $2.0k 2.7
Christian Vázquez OF 5.8 $2.3k 2.5
Isaac Collins OF 6.5 $2.6k 2.5
Kody Clemens OF 7.1 $2.9k 2.5
Joey Ortiz OF 5.4 $2.3k 2.3
Rhys Hoskins OF 8.2 $3.7k 2.2
Trevor Larnach OF 8.1 $3.7k 2.2
Freddy Peralta SP 20.4 $9.7k 2.1
Caleb Durbin OF 5.7 $2.8k 2.1
Brooks Lee OF 6.5 $3.2k 2.0
Zebby Matthews SP 13.8 $6.8k 2.0
Ryan Jeffers OF 7.3 $3.6k 2.0
William Contreras OF 7.8 $4.0k 2.0
Brice Turang OF 8.7 $4.5k 1.9
Ty France OF 6.3 $3.4k 1.8
Harrison Bader OF 5.9 $3.3k 1.8
Jackson Chourio OF 8.3 $4.8k 1.7
Christian Yelich OF 7.4 $4.4k 1.7
Sal Frelick OF 5.8 $3.5k 1.7
Royce Lewis OF 6.2 $3.8k 1.6
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
MIN 50% 50% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.9% 17.1%
6.5 76.1% 23.9%
7.5 65.3% 34.7%
8.5 56.2% 43.8%
9.5 45.3% 54.7%
10.5 37.5% 62.5%
11.5 29.5% 70.5%
12.5 22.7% 77.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversMIN covers
MIL -1.5 44.4% 28.1%
MIL -2.5 33.8% 20.2%
MIL -3.5 25.1% 14.0%
Team Totals
LineMILMIN
O 3.5 67.7% 54.6%
O 4.5 53.9% 40.0%
O 5.5 41.4% 29.9%
O 6.5 30.5% 21.0%
Odds
moneyline MIL 50% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookMINImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
MIL -1.5: MIL 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs MIN 4.4 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs MIL 3.9 BET ✗
BookMINMIL
DraftKings +1.5 -166 -1.5 +140
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -110 U 7.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.3 —
Kody Clemens 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Royce Lewis 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zebby Matthews Starter 5.1 5.1 5.6 1.9 3.2 34% 100% 13.8 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brice Turang 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Jackson Chourio LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
William Contreras C 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Christian Yelich LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.5 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.8 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.7 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Freddy Peralta Starter 5.9 6.2 5.2 2.0 2.7 58% 100% 20.4 —