St. Louis Cardinals
51% win
1
pred 4.7
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
49% win
2
pred 5.2
2025-05-18 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Hunter Renfroe OF 7.8 $2.3k 3.4
Yohel Pozo OF 7.6 $2.3k 3.3
Mark Canha OF 8.4 $2.9k 2.9
Dairon Blanco OF 6.6 $2.4k 2.7
Masyn Winn OF 8.8 $3.3k 2.7
Willson Contreras OF 9.5 $3.6k 2.6
Michael Massey OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.6
Lars Nootbaar OF 11.9 $4.6k 2.6
Salvador Perez OF 9.0 $3.5k 2.6
Alec Burleson OF 8.4 $3.3k 2.5
Freddy Fermin OF 6.6 $2.6k 2.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 8.2 $3.3k 2.5
Nolan Arenado OF 8.9 $3.7k 2.4
Maikel Garcia OF 9.4 $4.2k 2.2
Brendan Donovan OF 8.9 $4.2k 2.1
Iván Herrera OF 8.3 $4.5k 1.8
Victor Scott II OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Matthew Liberatore SP 12.0 $8.1k 1.5
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 8.9 $6.1k 1.5
Michael Wacha SP 10.9 $7.7k 1.4
Best Bets
OVER 8.0
TOTAL ★ · +1.9 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.9 vs Line: 8.0
LOSS
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
LOSS
STL 51% 49% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.5% 16.5%
6.5 78.1% 21.9%
7.5 68.4% 31.6%
8.5 60.1% 39.9%
9.5 50.4% 49.6%
10.5 42.6% 57.4%
11.5 34.5% 65.5%
12.5 26.9% 73.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversSTL covers
KC -1.5 27.3% 47.4%
KC -2.5 18.3% 38.1%
KC -3.5 13.1% 28.8%
Team Totals
LineKCSTL
O 3.5 56.6% 71.3%
O 4.5 41.6% 60.1%
O 5.5 30.3% 47.1%
O 6.5 21.7% 36.0%
Odds
moneyline STL 51% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookSTLImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs KC 5.2 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs STL 4.7 BET ✓
BookSTLKC
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 11.9 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.9 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.9 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.4 —
Iván Herrera C 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Yohel Pozo C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 7.6 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Liberatore Starter 6.5 5.5 6.4 2.0 3.2 56% 100% 12.0 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.9 —
Dairon Blanco CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Wacha Starter 5.6 4.6 6.3 2.0 3.4 39% 100% 10.9 —