Cleveland Guardians
52% win
1
pred 4.6
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
48% win
3
pred 4.1
2025-05-18 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jhonkensy Noel OF 7.0 $2.4k 2.9
Will Wilson OF 6.1 $2.2k 2.8
Connor Joe OF 6.0 $2.2k 2.8
Luis Ortiz SP 17.6 $6.5k 2.7
Will Benson OF 8.5 $3.3k 2.6
Austin Hedges OF 5.7 $2.3k 2.5
Carlos Santana OF 8.2 $3.5k 2.4
Gavin Lux OF 8.2 $3.8k 2.1
Angel Martínez OF 6.3 $3.0k 2.1
Tyler Stephenson OF 8.2 $4.0k 2.1
Andrew Abbott SP 19.2 $9.6k 2.0
Gabriel Arias OF 7.1 $3.7k 1.9
Santiago Espinal OF 6.6 $3.6k 1.8
Daniel Schneemann OF 6.0 $3.3k 1.8
TJ Friedl OF 7.7 $4.3k 1.8
Austin Hays OF 8.7 $5.0k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 8.1 $4.8k 1.7
Matt McLain OF 7.7 $4.7k 1.7
José Ramírez OF 8.3 $5.6k 1.5
Elly De La Cruz OF 7.7 $6.0k 1.3
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +7.0% edge
+114 · $100 bet · $114 profit
Model: 52% vs Market: 45%
LOSS
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 45%
+114 · $114 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+529 · $529 per $100
LOSS
CLE 52% 48% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.9% 21.1%
6.5 71.7% 28.3%
7.5 61.9% 38.1%
8.5 53.5% 46.5%
9.5 43.2% 56.8%
10.5 35.6% 64.4%
11.5 27.1% 72.9%
12.5 23.1% 76.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversCLE covers
CIN -1.5 40.1% 31.6%
CIN -2.5 28.4% 22.4%
CIN -3.5 19.3% 15.1%
Team Totals
LineCINCLE
O 3.5 61.8% 57.9%
O 4.5 50.0% 44.3%
O 5.5 36.8% 33.5%
O 6.5 24.6% 22.2%
Odds
moneyline CLE 52% · +114 · $114 per $100
BookCLEImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs CLE 4.6 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CIN 4.1 BET ✗
BookCLECIN
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.2 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.1 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.0 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.3 —
Will Wilson 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.1 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.0 —
Austin Hedges C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luis Ortiz Starter 5.8 6.0 5.7 2.7 3.2 42% 100% 17.6 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Will Benson LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.2 —
Matt McLain 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 7.7 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 7.7 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.6 —
Connor Joe OF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Abbott Starter 5.3 5.3 4.8 2.2 2.6 48% 100% 19.2 —