Detroit Tigers
45% win
3
pred 4.7
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
55% win
2
pred 4.2
2025-05-18 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Addison Barger OF 9.1 $2.7k 3.4
Jonatan Clase OF 6.3 $2.1k 3.0
Akil Baddoo OF 6.9 $2.3k 3.0
Ernie Clement OF 6.7 $2.4k 2.8
Alejandro Kirk OF 8.2 $3.2k 2.6
José Berríos SP 19.1 $7.6k 2.5
Bo Bichette OF 8.3 $3.6k 2.3
Anthony Santander OF 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Daulton Varsho OF 9.3 $4.1k 2.3
Trey Sweeney OF 6.9 $3.1k 2.2
Nathan Lukes OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Zach McKinstry OF 7.8 $3.7k 2.1
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.2 $4.5k 2.1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 9.8 $5.0k 2.0
Gleyber Torres OF 8.8 $4.9k 1.8
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.5 $4.8k 1.8
Riley Greene OF 8.1 $4.6k 1.8
Javier Báez OF 6.4 $3.8k 1.7
Dillon Dingler OF 6.5 $4.0k 1.6
Jackson Jobe SP 10.2 $7.4k 1.4
Predictions
Toronto Blue Jays
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+414 · $414 per $100
LOSS
DET 45% 55% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.2% 15.8%
6.5 77.4% 22.6%
7.5 66.8% 33.2%
8.5 58.8% 41.2%
9.5 50.6% 49.4%
10.5 43.0% 57.0%
11.5 33.8% 66.2%
12.5 27.1% 72.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversDET covers
TOR -1.5 32.7% 38.9%
TOR -2.5 22.8% 29.1%
TOR -3.5 15.5% 21.6%
Team Totals
LineTORDET
O 3.5 63.3% 65.9%
O 4.5 50.0% 54.3%
O 5.5 36.7% 42.0%
O 6.5 25.7% 30.4%
Odds
moneyline TOR 55% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookDETImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
TOR -1.5: TOR 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs DET 4.7 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs TOR 4.2 BET ✓
BookDETTOR
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Akil Baddoo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.5 —
Javier Báez CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Jobe Starter 5.2 4.4 5.3 2.5 3.1 43% 100% 10.2 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 9.8 —
Daulton Varsho CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Alejandro Kirk C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.2 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 6.8 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 6.7 —
Jonatan Clase LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Berríos Starter 6.0 6.0 6.0 2.2 3.4 46% 100% 19.1 —