Atlanta Braves
53% win
10
pred 4.7
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
47% win
4
pred 5.3
2025-05-18 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Connor Wong OF 6.8 $2.0k 3.4
Abraham Toro OF 7.1 $2.3k 3.1
Drake Baldwin OF 10.4 $3.8k 2.7
David Hamilton OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.7
Nick Allen OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.7
Marcell Ozuna OF 10.4 $4.2k 2.5
Michael Harris II OF 8.5 $3.5k 2.4
Alex Verdugo OF 9.1 $3.9k 2.3
Matt Olson OF 10.4 $4.7k 2.2
Austin Riley OF 9.9 $4.5k 2.2
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Ozzie Albies OF 8.5 $4.0k 2.1
Eli White OF 7.5 $3.6k 2.1
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.5 $4.6k 2.1
Jarren Duran OF 9.7 $5.1k 1.9
Rafael Devers OF 9.0 $4.8k 1.9
Trevor Story OF 7.4 $4.0k 1.9
Alex Bregman OF 9.9 $5.4k 1.8
Spencer Schwellenbach SP 15.4 $8.9k 1.7
Brayan Bello SP 10.0 $7.5k 1.3
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.0 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+476 · $476 per $100
LOSS
ATL 53% 47% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.2% 14.8%
6.5 79.2% 20.8%
7.5 69.2% 30.8%
8.5 62.2% 37.8%
9.5 51.1% 48.9%
10.5 42.4% 57.6%
11.5 33.9% 66.1%
12.5 27.5% 72.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversATL covers
BOS -1.5 29.9% 42.5%
BOS -2.5 20.4% 31.8%
BOS -3.5 13.5% 24.2%
Team Totals
LineBOSATL
O 3.5 61.3% 69.7%
O 4.5 48.6% 56.7%
O 5.5 34.9% 46.3%
O 6.5 24.2% 32.3%
Odds
moneyline ATL 53% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookATLImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings -125 53.3% +105 46.7%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BOS 5.3 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs ATL 4.7 BET ✗
BookATLBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -108 U 9.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.4 —
Matt Olson 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.4 —
Drake Baldwin C 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.4 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Eli White RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Schwellenbach Starter 6.2 6.0 6.2 1.7 3.2 52% 100% 15.4 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.7 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.5 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.1 7.4 —
Abraham Toro 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.1 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.9 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.9 6.9 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.5 5.0 6.1 2.2 3.4 42% 100% 10.0 —