Washington Nationals
40% win
10
pred 5
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
60% win
4
pred 4.8
2025-05-18 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
José Tena OF 7.4 $2.4k 3.1
Josh Bell OF 8.5 $2.8k 3.0
Heston Kjerstad OF 8.1 $2.8k 2.9
Ramón Laureano OF 8.5 $3.0k 2.9
Jackson Holliday OF 9.1 $3.3k 2.8
Emmanuel Rivera OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.7
Nathaniel Lowe OF 9.7 $3.8k 2.6
Ryan Mountcastle OF 8.4 $3.5k 2.4
James Wood OF 10.8 $4.9k 2.2
Dylan Crews OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Keibert Ruiz OF 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Michael Soroka SP 11.6 $5.4k 2.1
CJ Abrams OF 10.6 $5.0k 2.1
Adley Rutschman OF 8.9 $4.2k 2.1
Ryan O'Hearn OF 8.8 $4.2k 2.1
Gunnar Henderson OF 9.6 $4.9k 2.0
Alex Call OF 7.5 $4.0k 1.9
Cedric Mullins OF 8.4 $4.6k 1.8
Luis García OF 6.2 $3.5k 1.8
Zach Eflin SP 14.3 $8.7k 1.7
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 64%
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+423 · $423 per $100
LOSS
WSH 40% 60% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.9% 18.1%
6.5 75.7% 24.3%
7.5 65.3% 34.7%
8.5 57.8% 42.2%
9.5 47.5% 52.5%
10.5 40.0% 60.0%
11.5 30.9% 69.1%
12.5 25.0% 75.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversWSH covers
BAL -1.5 33.9% 39.2%
BAL -2.5 24.1% 31.0%
BAL -3.5 16.2% 21.1%
Team Totals
LineBALWSH
O 3.5 61.5% 62.9%
O 4.5 47.4% 50.0%
O 5.5 34.3% 39.2%
O 6.5 22.9% 30.4%
Odds
moneyline BAL 60% · -198 · $51 per $100
BookWSHImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +164 36.3% -198 63.7%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -122 · $82 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs WSH 5.0 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs BAL 4.8 BET ✓
BookWSHBAL
DraftKings +1.5 -122 -1.5 +102
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -102 U 9.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 10.8 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.0 10.6 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 8.0 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.9 7.6 —
Alex Call RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
José Tena 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Luis García P 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Soroka Starter 5.1 5.2 4.9 1.9 2.7 42% 100% 11.6 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.6 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.5 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Emmanuel Rivera 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zach Eflin Starter 5.7 5.3 5.8 1.7 3.0 47% 100% 14.3 —