Houston Astros
52% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
Texas Rangers
48% win
3
pred 4.2
2025-05-18 Globe Life Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ezequiel Duran OF 6.4 $2.3k 2.8
Sam Haggerty OF 7.7 $2.8k 2.7
Jake Burger OF 7.9 $2.9k 2.7
Yainer Diaz OF 8.1 $3.0k 2.7
Christian Walker OF 8.6 $3.3k 2.6
Isaac Paredes OF 9.2 $3.6k 2.6
Mauricio Dubón OF 6.2 $2.5k 2.5
Brendan Rodgers OF 6.7 $2.7k 2.5
Zach Dezenzo OF 7.7 $3.1k 2.5
Cam Smith OF 6.7 $2.8k 2.4
Marcus Semien OF 7.4 $3.3k 2.3
Kevin Pillar OF 7.2 $3.3k 2.2
Josh Jung OF 7.8 $3.6k 2.2
Jonah Heim OF 7.7 $3.6k 2.1
Jake Meyers OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Adolis García OF 8.7 $4.2k 2.1
Jose Altuve OF 8.0 $4.1k 1.9
Wyatt Langford OF 9.7 $5.2k 1.9
Jack Leiter SP 13.3 $7.1k 1.9
Framber Valdez SP 14.5 $7.9k 1.8
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Texas Rangers +1.5
RL · 1.3 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
LOSS
HOU 52% 48% TEX
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.4% 17.6%
6.5 76.7% 23.3%
7.5 67.0% 33.0%
8.5 58.1% 41.9%
9.5 48.1% 51.9%
10.5 37.7% 62.3%
11.5 29.2% 70.8%
12.5 23.7% 76.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineTEX coversHOU covers
TEX -1.5 33.5% 41.1%
TEX -2.5 23.7% 31.6%
TEX -3.5 15.8% 24.4%
Team Totals
LineTEXHOU
O 3.5 57.4% 66.9%
O 4.5 45.1% 52.2%
O 5.5 33.6% 38.8%
O 6.5 22.7% 30.2%
Odds
moneyline HOU 52% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookHOUImpl%TEXImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs TEX 4.2 no bet
TEX +1.5: TEX 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs HOU 4.4 BET ✓
BookHOUTEX
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 9.2 —
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 8.0 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.7 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 6.2 6.1 5.9 2.2 3.1 52% 100% 14.5 —
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Wyatt Langford LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Jake Burger 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.9 —
Josh Jung 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.8 —
Sam Haggerty CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 7.7 —
Jonah Heim C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.7 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Kevin Pillar CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 7.2 —
Ezequiel Duran SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Leiter Starter 5.1 4.7 5.2 2.3 3.0 39% 100% 13.3 —