Seattle Mariners
49% win
4
pred 4.6
FINAL
San Diego Padres
51% win
1
pred 3.3
2025-05-17 Petco Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Rowdy Tellez UTIL 14.0 $2.8k 5.0
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 19.0 $4.0k 4.8
Cal Raleigh UTIL 20.0 $5.1k 3.9
Gavin Sheets UTIL 14.0 $4.0k 3.5
Gabe Speier UTIL 10.4 $4.0k 2.6
Nick Pivetta UTIL 23.7 $10.1k 2.4
Randy Arozarena UTIL 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
Emerson Hancock UTIL 10.3 $5.8k 1.8
Dylan Moore UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Jeremiah Estrada UTIL 5.5 $4.0k 1.4
Andrés Muñoz UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Luis Arraez UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Donovan Solano UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Jason Heyward UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 5.0 $5.8k 0.9
Casey Legumina UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Matt Brash UTIL 4.3 $5.8k 0.7
Julio Rodríguez UTIL 3.0 $4.6k 0.7
Jason Adam UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jackson Merrill UTIL 3.0 $6.0k 0.5
Yuki Matsui UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
Seattle Mariners +1.5
RL · 2.8 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres ML + Seattle Mariners +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
SEA 49% 51% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.8% 12.2%
6.5 82.0% 18.0%
7.5 73.7% 26.3%
8.5 66.7% 33.3%
9.5 57.4% 42.6%
10.5 50.0% 50.0%
11.5 39.9% 60.1%
12.5 31.7% 68.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversSEA covers
SD -1.5 39.0% 34.7%
SD -2.5 29.6% 26.2%
SD -3.5 22.1% 19.8%
Team Totals
LineSDSEA
O 3.5 71.1% 67.7%
O 4.5 61.0% 53.3%
O 5.5 47.2% 40.9%
O 6.5 34.1% 30.3%
Odds
moneyline SD 51% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookSEAImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Seattle Mariners +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.3 − 1.5 = 1.8 vs SEA 4.6 no bet
SEA +1.5: SEA 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs SD 3.3 BET ✓
BookSEASD
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Seattle Mariners
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jorge Polanco 2B 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.2 —
Cal Raleigh C 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.7 —
Julio Rodríguez CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.6 —
Rowdy Tellez 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
J.P. Crawford SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.5 —
Randy Arozarena LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Dylan Moore 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.0 —
Miles Mastrobuoni 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
Ben Williamson 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Emerson Hancock Starter 5.9 4.6 7.0 2.1 3.9 42% 100% 8.6 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 12.2 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 10.8 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.7 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.4 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 9.1 —
Gavin Sheets LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.0 —
Jason Heyward RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Elias Díaz C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.5 6.0 5.4 2.3 3.3 50% 100% 19.7 —