Atlanta Braves
55% win
6
pred 4.6
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
45% win
7
pred 5.5
2025-05-17 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Rafael Devers UTIL 28.0 $4.9k 5.7
Eli White UTIL 16.0 $3.4k 4.7
Matt Olson UTIL 22.0 $4.7k 4.7
Jarren Duran UTIL 23.0 $5.0k 4.6
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 20.0 $4.4k 4.6
Drake Baldwin UTIL 16.0 $3.8k 4.2
Abraham Toro UTIL 7.0 $2.2k 3.2
David Hamilton UTIL 7.0 $2.3k 3.0
Aroldis Chapman UTIL 11.1 $4.0k 2.8
Austin Riley UTIL 11.0 $4.5k 2.4
Grant Holmes UTIL 15.3 $7.2k 2.1
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Carlos Narváez UTIL 7.0 $3.4k 2.1
Alex Bregman UTIL 9.0 $5.6k 1.6
Ozzie Albies UTIL 6.0 $4.3k 1.4
Alex Verdugo UTIL 5.0 $3.6k 1.4
Trevor Story UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Nick Allen UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Brennan Bernardino UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Garrett Whitlock UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Enyel De Los Santos UTIL 0.9 $6.8k 0.1
Best Bets
Atlanta Braves
ML ★ · +6.9% edge
+100 · $100 bet · $100 profit
Model: 55% vs Market: 48%
LOSS
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.2 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+488 · $488 per $100
LOSS
ATL 55% 45% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.6% 14.4%
6.5 81.5% 18.5%
7.5 71.7% 28.3%
8.5 63.2% 36.8%
9.5 53.1% 46.9%
10.5 45.7% 54.3%
11.5 36.2% 63.8%
12.5 29.1% 70.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversATL covers
BOS -1.5 33.0% 42.2%
BOS -2.5 22.7% 32.8%
BOS -3.5 16.1% 23.9%
Team Totals
LineBOSATL
O 3.5 62.2% 69.1%
O 4.5 50.9% 55.8%
O 5.5 36.9% 44.0%
O 6.5 25.3% 33.8%
Odds
moneyline ATL 55% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookATLImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 4.6 − 1.5 = 3.1 vs BOS 5.5 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs ATL 4.6 BET ✓
BookATLBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -112 U 9.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drake Baldwin C 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.9 —
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 10.5 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.2 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.5 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.3 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Eli White RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Grant Holmes Starter 6.2 6.2 6.2 2.4 3.5 51% 100% 14.3 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Abraham Toro 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lucas Giolito Starter 5.6 5.6 6.1 2.0 3.4 43% 100% 12.7 —