Houston Astros
54% win
1
pred 4.4
FINAL
Texas Rangers
46% win
5
pred 4.4
2025-05-17 Globe Life Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Joc Pederson UTIL 20.0 $2.5k 8.0
Sam Haggerty UTIL 14.0 $3.0k 4.7
Wyatt Langford UTIL 24.0 $5.3k 4.5
Cam Smith UTIL 7.0 $2.8k 2.5
Christian Walker UTIL 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Marcus Semien UTIL 7.0 $3.5k 2.0
Tyler Mahle UTIL 17.3 $9.6k 1.8
Jake Burger UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Ronel Blanco UTIL 12.7 $7.8k 1.6
Kyle Higashioka UTIL 4.0 $2.6k 1.5
Isaac Paredes UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Jacob Webb UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Jose Altuve UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Jake Meyers UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Robert Garcia UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Chris Martin UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jeremy Peña UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Adolis García UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Ryan Gusto UTIL 3.1 $6.7k 0.5
Josh Smith UTIL 2.0 $4.6k 0.4
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★ · +6.2% edge
+100 · $100 bet · $100 profit
Model: 54% vs Market: 48%
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
LOSS
Texas Rangers +1.5
RL · 1.5 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+475 · $475 per $100
LOSS
HOU 54% 46% TEX
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.0% 20.0%
6.5 72.1% 27.9%
7.5 61.0% 39.0%
8.5 53.4% 46.6%
9.5 40.9% 59.1%
10.5 33.3% 66.7%
11.5 25.8% 74.2%
12.5 20.2% 79.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTEX coversHOU covers
TEX -1.5 32.5% 36.6%
TEX -2.5 23.6% 26.0%
TEX -3.5 15.7% 19.1%
Team Totals
LineTEXHOU
O 3.5 60.0% 61.9%
O 4.5 45.0% 46.1%
O 5.5 33.0% 33.5%
O 6.5 21.6% 23.8%
Odds
moneyline HOU 54% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookHOUImpl%TEXImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs TEX 4.4 no bet
TEX +1.5: TEX 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs HOU 4.4 BET ✓
BookHOUTEX
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.6 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ronel Blanco Starter 5.8 6.0 5.1 2.4 3.0 47% 100% 18.3 —
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Wyatt Langford LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Josh Smith SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Adolis García RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.6 —
Joc Pederson 1B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Kyle Higashioka C 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Jake Burger 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Sam Haggerty CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tyler Mahle Starter 5.6 5.1 5.4 2.0 2.8 46% 100% 15.4 —