Cleveland Guardians
55% win
1
pred 4.3
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
45% win
4
pred 4.6
2025-05-17 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Carlos Santana OF 9.7 $3.4k 2.8
Bo Naylor OF 7.8 $2.9k 2.7
Nolan Jones OF 7.1 $2.7k 2.6
Rece Hinds OF 9.1 $3.5k 2.6
Will Benson OF 8.2 $3.2k 2.6
Angel Martínez OF 7.8 $3.1k 2.5
Kyle Manzardo OF 10.2 $4.3k 2.4
Santiago Espinal OF 7.8 $3.6k 2.2
José Ramírez OF 11.9 $5.5k 2.2
Daniel Schneemann OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Jose Trevino OF 7.3 $3.5k 2.1
TJ Friedl OF 8.5 $4.1k 2.1
Spencer Steer OF 7.8 $3.9k 2.0
Steven Kwan OF 9.4 $4.7k 2.0
Gabriel Arias OF 7.4 $3.8k 1.9
Brent Suter SP 7.6 $4.0k 1.9
Austin Hays OF 9.0 $5.0k 1.8
Matt McLain OF 8.0 $4.6k 1.7
Slade Cecconi SP 11.7 $7.8k 1.5
Elly De La Cruz OF 8.8 $6.0k 1.5
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
UNDER 10.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 10.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + UNDER 10.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+476 · $476 per $100
LOSS
CLE 55% 45% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.3% 11.7%
6.5 83.9% 16.1%
7.5 75.0% 25.0%
8.5 66.9% 33.1%
9.5 57.0% 43.0%
10.5 48.6% 51.4%
11.5 38.5% 61.5%
12.5 31.4% 68.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversCLE covers
CIN -1.5 42.2% 32.8%
CIN -2.5 30.8% 25.4%
CIN -3.5 22.7% 17.3%
Team Totals
LineCINCLE
O 3.5 73.2% 64.5%
O 4.5 60.0% 53.0%
O 5.5 46.4% 41.6%
O 6.5 33.5% 30.5%
Odds
moneyline CLE 55% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookCLEImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings -125 53.3% +105 46.7%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs CIN 4.6 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CLE 4.3 BET ✓
BookCLECIN
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Under 10.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 10.0 -105 U 10.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 11.9 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.2 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.7 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 9.4 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.8 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Slade Cecconi Starter 5.1 4.9 5.8 1.7 3.3 38% 100% 11.7 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rece Hinds RF 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.1 —
Austin Hays LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.5 —
Will Benson LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Spencer Steer 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Jose Trevino C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brent Suter Starter 4.1 3.5 4.1 1.5 2.2 19% 100% 7.6 —