Washington Nationals
56% win
10
pred 5.6
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
44% win
6
pred 4.5
2025-05-17 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Heston Kjerstad OF 10.9 $2.8k 3.9
José Tena OF 8.1 $2.2k 3.7
Ramón Urías OF 10.1 $2.8k 3.6
Josh Bell OF 9.0 $2.7k 3.3
Ramón Laureano OF 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Maverick Handley OF 6.8 $2.2k 3.1
Jackson Holliday OF 11.1 $3.7k 3.0
Jacob Young OF 7.2 $2.6k 2.8
Nathaniel Lowe OF 10.9 $4.1k 2.7
Dylan Crews OF 8.6 $3.4k 2.5
Ryan O'Hearn OF 11.3 $4.6k 2.5
Cedric Mullins OF 11.5 $4.8k 2.4
Adley Rutschman OF 10.7 $4.5k 2.4
James Wood OF 12.3 $5.2k 2.4
Keibert Ruiz OF 8.9 $3.8k 2.3
Gunnar Henderson OF 12.0 $5.2k 2.3
CJ Abrams OF 12.0 $5.3k 2.3
Kyle Gibson SP 13.0 $6.2k 2.1
Luis García OF 6.0 $3.5k 1.7
Jake Irvin SP 7.9 $6.5k 1.2
Best Bets
Washington Nationals
ML ★★★ ELITE · +13.2% edge
+124 · $300 bet · $372 profit
Model: 56% vs Market: 43%
WIN
Predictions
Washington Nationals
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 43%
+124 · $124 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
UNDER 10.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.1 vs Line 10.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + UNDER 10.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+604 · $604 per $100
LOSS
WSH 56% 44% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.1% 11.9%
6.5 83.3% 16.7%
7.5 73.8% 26.2%
8.5 67.5% 32.5%
9.5 57.6% 42.4%
10.5 49.4% 50.6%
11.5 40.0% 60.0%
12.5 34.0% 66.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversWSH covers
BAL -1.5 30.1% 44.3%
BAL -2.5 21.6% 34.3%
BAL -3.5 15.0% 26.4%
Team Totals
LineBALWSH
O 3.5 65.5% 74.4%
O 4.5 51.9% 62.5%
O 5.5 39.3% 48.3%
O 6.5 27.4% 36.7%
Odds
moneyline WSH 56% · +124 · $124 per $100
BookWSHImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs WSH 5.6 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 5.6 + 1.5 = 7.1 vs BAL 4.5 BET ✓
BookWSHBAL
DraftKings +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
total Under 10.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 10.5 -110 U 10.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 12.3 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.9 12.0 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.9 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.0 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 8.9 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
José Tena 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Jacob Young CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Luis García P 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jake Irvin Starter 6.1 5.4 6.0 2.2 3.4 54% 100% 7.9 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 12.0 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 11.5 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.3 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.1 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.9 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 10.7 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.1 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.0 —
Maverick Handley C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Gibson Starter 5.0 4.5 5.9 1.9 3.5 37% 100% 13.0 —