Detroit Tigers
50% win
1
pred 3.6
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
50% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-05-17 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Justyn-Henry Malloy OF 9.8 $2.8k 3.5
Michael Stefanic OF 5.6 $2.0k 2.8
Tomás Nido OF 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Addison Barger OF 7.6 $3.0k 2.6
Andy Ibáñez OF 8.7 $3.5k 2.5
Ernie Clement OF 6.5 $2.7k 2.4
Colt Keith OF 7.4 $3.1k 2.4
Eric Lauer SP 13.6 $5.9k 2.3
Riley Greene OF 9.7 $4.4k 2.2
Javier Báez OF 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Nathan Lukes OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Bo Bichette OF 7.9 $3.7k 2.1
Daulton Varsho OF 8.6 $4.1k 2.1
Gleyber Torres OF 9.9 $5.1k 1.9
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.9 $4.8k 1.9
Zach McKinstry OF 6.6 $3.6k 1.8
Tyler Heineman OF 6.2 $3.5k 1.8
Reese Olson SP 15.4 $8.8k 1.7
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 8.3 $5.0k 1.7
George Springer OF 7.5 $4.7k 1.6
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+466 · $466 per $100
LOSS
DET 50% 50% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.9% 17.1%
6.5 77.1% 22.9%
7.5 67.8% 32.2%
8.5 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 49.5% 50.5%
10.5 41.0% 59.0%
11.5 32.9% 67.1%
12.5 26.2% 73.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversDET covers
TOR -1.5 27.6% 47.2%
TOR -2.5 18.5% 35.9%
TOR -3.5 13.1% 27.2%
Team Totals
LineTORDET
O 3.5 57.1% 69.9%
O 4.5 42.3% 57.7%
O 5.5 31.5% 44.8%
O 6.5 21.3% 34.4%
Odds
moneyline DET 50% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookDETImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs TOR 4.5 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs DET 3.6 BET ✓
BookDETTOR
DraftKings -1.5 +110 +1.5 -130
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -110 U 8.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Justyn-Henry Malloy LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.2 9.8 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Andy Ibáñez 3B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Tomás Nido C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Reese Olson Starter 5.7 5.5 5.6 2.1 2.8 56% 100% 15.4 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Daulton Varsho CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.6 —
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
George Springer RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.9 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 6.5 —
Tyler Heineman C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
Michael Stefanic 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Eric Lauer Starter 4.5 4.5 4.6 1.9 2.6 28% 100% 13.6 —