New York Mets
46% win
3
pred 5.4
FINAL
New York Yankees
54% win
2
pred 4.8
2025-05-17 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jorbit Vivas OF 7.2 $2.4k 3.0
DJ LeMahieu OF 7.7 $2.6k 3.0
J.C. Escarra OF 8.8 $3.1k 2.9
Jasson Domínguez OF 11.3 $4.2k 2.7
Brett Baty OF 8.0 $3.0k 2.7
Mark Vientos OF 9.3 $3.6k 2.6
Luis Torrens OF 8.0 $3.2k 2.5
Brandon Nimmo OF 10.7 $4.3k 2.5
Ben Rice OF 12.7 $5.4k 2.4
Jeff McNeil OF 7.9 $3.4k 2.3
Cody Bellinger OF 10.5 $4.6k 2.3
Juan Soto OF 12.4 $5.5k 2.3
Paul Goldschmidt OF 9.6 $4.3k 2.2
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Anthony Volpe OF 9.6 $4.5k 2.1
Pete Alonso OF 12.3 $5.8k 2.1
Aaron Judge OF 14.0 $6.6k 2.1
Francisco Lindor OF 10.9 $5.6k 2.0
Clarke Schmidt SP 11.3 $8.2k 1.4
Griffin Canning SP 10.2 $7.8k 1.3
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 10.0
TOTAL · Proj 10.2 vs Line 10.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + New York Mets +1.5 + OVER 10.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+425 · $425 per $100
LOSS
NYM 46% 54% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.8% 15.2%
6.5 79.5% 20.5%
7.5 71.9% 28.1%
8.5 63.8% 36.2%
9.5 54.0% 46.0%
10.5 46.3% 53.7%
11.5 35.2% 64.8%
12.5 29.1% 70.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversNYM covers
NYY -1.5 33.8% 40.9%
NYY -2.5 22.8% 29.9%
NYY -3.5 17.0% 21.4%
Team Totals
LineNYYNYM
O 3.5 65.1% 67.6%
O 4.5 52.8% 54.0%
O 5.5 39.8% 43.9%
O 6.5 28.3% 33.2%
Odds
moneyline NYY 54% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookNYMImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline New York Mets +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs NYM 5.4 no bet
NYM +1.5: NYM 5.4 + 1.5 = 6.9 vs NYY 4.8 BET ✓
BookNYMNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
total Over 10.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 10.0 -108 U 10.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 12.4 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 12.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.9 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.7 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.3 —
Luis Torrens C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Griffin Canning Starter 5.4 5.4 5.3 2.3 3.1 48% 100% 10.2 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 14.0 —
Ben Rice 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 12.7 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 11.3 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.5 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.6 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.6 —
J.C. Escarra C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.8 —
DJ LeMahieu 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.7 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clarke Schmidt Starter 5.5 5.3 5.6 2.4 3.3 43% 100% 11.3 —