Houston Astros
47% win
6
pred 4.4
FINAL
Texas Rangers
53% win
3
pred 3.9
2025-05-16 Globe Life Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Joc Pederson OF 8.2 $2.6k 3.2
Victor Caratini OF 7.4 $2.7k 2.8
Lance McCullers Jr. SP 17.3 $6.8k 2.5
Jake Burger OF 6.6 $3.0k 2.2
Christian Walker OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.1
Marcus Semien OF 7.1 $3.4k 2.1
Jeremy Peña OF 7.5 $3.9k 1.9
Nathan Eovaldi SP 20.0 $10.4k 1.9
Isaac Paredes OF 7.3 $3.8k 1.9
Josh Jung OF 6.8 $3.6k 1.9
Yainer Diaz OF 6.0 $3.2k 1.9
Adolis García OF 7.7 $4.2k 1.8
Cam Smith OF 5.4 $3.0k 1.8
Zach Dezenzo OF 5.9 $3.3k 1.8
Josh Smith OF 7.8 $4.6k 1.7
Wyatt Langford OF 8.5 $5.0k 1.7
Jake Meyers OF 6.2 $3.7k 1.7
Evan Carter OF 6.6 $4.0k 1.7
Jose Altuve OF 6.8 $4.3k 1.6
Jonah Heim OF 5.8 $3.8k 1.5
Predictions
Texas Rangers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Texas Rangers ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
HOU 47% 53% TEX
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.9% 21.1%
6.5 71.8% 28.2%
7.5 60.5% 39.5%
8.5 50.9% 49.1%
9.5 41.4% 58.6%
10.5 34.6% 65.4%
11.5 25.4% 74.6%
12.5 19.8% 80.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineTEX coversHOU covers
TEX -1.5 33.3% 39.7%
TEX -2.5 24.0% 28.6%
TEX -3.5 17.5% 20.3%
Team Totals
LineTEXHOU
O 3.5 58.4% 61.6%
O 4.5 45.0% 49.5%
O 5.5 31.0% 37.2%
O 6.5 21.2% 26.2%
Odds
moneyline TEX 53% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookHOUImpl%TEXImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
TEX -1.5: TEX 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs HOU 4.4 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs TEX 3.9 BET ✓
BookHOUTEX
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -120 U 7.0 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.5 —
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.0 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lance McCullers Jr. Starter 4.5 4.6 4.3 1.9 2.4 33% 100% 17.3 —
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Wyatt Langford LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.5 —
Joc Pederson 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.2 —
Josh Smith SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.8 —
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Jake Burger 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.6 —
Evan Carter CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.6 —
Jonah Heim C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nathan Eovaldi Starter 5.8 6.0 5.8 1.8 2.9 45% 100% 20.0 —