Detroit Tigers
53% win
5
pred 4.4
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
47% win
4
pred 4.9
2025-05-16 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Addison Barger OF 8.3 $2.8k 3.0
Michael Stefanic OF 5.9 $2.0k 2.9
Jonatan Clase OF 5.8 $2.1k 2.8
Colt Keith OF 8.2 $3.2k 2.6
Bowden Francis SP 14.4 $5.7k 2.5
Kerry Carpenter OF 10.3 $4.2k 2.5
Trey Sweeney OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.4
Bo Bichette OF 8.4 $3.6k 2.3
Alejandro Kirk OF 7.3 $3.3k 2.2
Zach McKinstry OF 7.9 $3.7k 2.1
Riley Greene OF 9.3 $4.4k 2.1
Nathan Lukes OF 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Daulton Varsho OF 8.7 $4.2k 2.1
Jack Flaherty SP 15.2 $8.0k 1.9
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 9.1 $4.9k 1.9
Dillon Dingler OF 7.5 $4.1k 1.8
Gleyber Torres OF 9.1 $5.0k 1.8
Javier Báez OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
George Springer OF 7.7 $4.5k 1.7
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.4 $5.0k 1.7
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+460 · $460 per $100
WIN
DET 53% 47% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.4% 16.6%
6.5 77.4% 22.6%
7.5 68.1% 31.9%
8.5 59.1% 40.9%
9.5 48.1% 51.9%
10.5 40.0% 60.0%
11.5 32.5% 67.5%
12.5 25.7% 74.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversDET covers
TOR -1.5 35.5% 38.1%
TOR -2.5 24.1% 28.5%
TOR -3.5 17.2% 20.2%
Team Totals
LineTORDET
O 3.5 63.1% 65.1%
O 4.5 51.6% 49.4%
O 5.5 37.0% 39.9%
O 6.5 26.6% 29.5%
Odds
moneyline DET 53% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookDETImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs TOR 4.9 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs DET 4.4 BET ✓
BookDETTOR
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.3 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.3 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Colt Keith 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.5 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Flaherty Starter 5.5 5.7 5.5 2.0 3.1 46% 100% 15.2 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Daulton Varsho CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.7 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
George Springer RF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Alejandro Kirk C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Nathan Lukes RF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.0 —
Michael Stefanic 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
Jonatan Clase LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bowden Francis Starter 5.7 5.2 5.7 1.7 3.1 46% 100% 14.4 —