New York Mets
50% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
New York Yankees
50% win
6
pred 4.4
2025-05-16 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Oswald Peraza OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Jorbit Vivas OF 6.1 $2.3k 2.6
Mark Vientos OF 8.5 $3.5k 2.4
Jasson Domínguez OF 9.0 $4.1k 2.2
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Francisco Alvarez OF 7.1 $3.3k 2.1
Starling Marte OF 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Brandon Nimmo OF 8.8 $4.2k 2.1
Trent Grisham OF 10.4 $5.1k 2.0
Tylor Megill SP 15.3 $7.6k 2.0
Juan Soto OF 10.6 $5.4k 2.0
Anthony Volpe OF 8.4 $4.3k 2.0
Cody Bellinger OF 9.3 $4.8k 1.9
Luisangel Acuña OF 7.2 $3.8k 1.9
Francisco Lindor OF 9.6 $5.2k 1.9
Paul Goldschmidt OF 8.4 $4.7k 1.8
Aaron Judge OF 11.4 $6.4k 1.8
Austin Wells OF 7.9 $4.5k 1.8
Carlos Rodón SP 17.5 $10.1k 1.7
Pete Alonso OF 9.6 $5.7k 1.7
Best Bets
New York Mets
ML ★ · +6.4% edge
+120 · $100 bet · $120 profit
Model: 50% vs Market: 44%
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 44%
+120 · $120 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + New York Mets +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+560 · $560 per $100
LOSS
NYM 50% 50% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 76.9% 23.1%
7.5 68.6% 31.4%
8.5 61.5% 38.5%
9.5 51.1% 48.9%
10.5 43.3% 56.7%
11.5 35.7% 64.3%
12.5 29.9% 70.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversNYM covers
NYY -1.5 37.4% 35.6%
NYY -2.5 27.6% 25.3%
NYY -3.5 20.3% 18.4%
Team Totals
LineNYYNYM
O 3.5 65.6% 63.8%
O 4.5 52.2% 50.7%
O 5.5 39.9% 38.5%
O 6.5 30.3% 28.6%
Odds
moneyline NYM 50% · +120 · $120 per $100
BookNYMImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline New York Mets +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs NYM 4.8 no bet
NYM +1.5: NYM 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs NYY 4.4 BET ✗
BookNYMNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -175 -1.5 +145
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -108 U 9.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.6 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.6 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.6 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.5 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tylor Megill Starter 5.5 6.1 5.4 2.6 3.2 44% 100% 15.3 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.2 11.4 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 10.4 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 9.0 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Rodón Starter 5.9 6.3 5.6 2.3 3.2 49% 100% 17.5 —