Washington Nationals
45% win
4
pred 4
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
55% win
3
pred 4.6
2025-05-16 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jorge Mateo OF 6.7 $2.1k 3.2
José Tena OF 7.3 $2.4k 3.1
Nasim Nuñez OF 6.8 $2.3k 3.0
Ramón Laureano OF 8.6 $2.9k 3.0
Ramón Urías OF 7.5 $2.8k 2.7
Jacob Young OF 7.3 $2.8k 2.6
Alex Call OF 10.0 $3.9k 2.6
Dylan Crews OF 8.6 $3.5k 2.5
Keibert Ruiz OF 8.8 $3.6k 2.4
Nathaniel Lowe OF 9.5 $4.0k 2.4
Ryan Mountcastle OF 7.9 $3.5k 2.3
James Wood OF 11.0 $4.9k 2.3
CJ Abrams OF 10.7 $4.9k 2.2
MacKenzie Gore SP 18.8 $8.6k 2.2
Cade Povich SP 11.0 $5.2k 2.1
Ryan O'Hearn OF 8.5 $4.4k 1.9
Jackson Holliday OF 6.7 $3.5k 1.9
Gunnar Henderson OF 9.4 $5.0k 1.9
Adley Rutschman OF 8.0 $4.3k 1.9
Cedric Mullins OF 7.9 $4.7k 1.7
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
WSH 45% 55% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.4% 15.6%
6.5 79.1% 20.9%
7.5 68.8% 31.2%
8.5 59.9% 40.1%
9.5 51.8% 48.2%
10.5 45.3% 54.7%
11.5 35.8% 64.2%
12.5 29.0% 71.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversWSH covers
BAL -1.5 39.5% 35.2%
BAL -2.5 29.1% 25.1%
BAL -3.5 21.0% 18.5%
Team Totals
LineBALWSH
O 3.5 67.3% 62.8%
O 4.5 52.6% 50.9%
O 5.5 39.8% 38.1%
O 6.5 30.7% 27.9%
Odds
moneyline BAL 55% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookWSHImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
WSH -1.5: WSH 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs BAL 4.6 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs WSH 4.0 BET ✓
BookWSHBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +102 U 9.0 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.0 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 10.7 —
Alex Call RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.0 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 8.8 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
José Tena 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Jacob Young CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Nasim Nuñez SS 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
MacKenzie Gore Starter 5.7 6.3 5.8 2.2 3.3 42% 100% 18.8 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.4 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 8.6 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.0 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Jorge Mateo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cade Povich Starter 5.7 4.8 5.8 2.3 3.2 51% 100% 11.0 —