Cleveland Guardians
54% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
46% win
5
pred 5.5
2025-05-16 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Will Brennan OF 7.9 $2.0k 4.0
Nolan Jones OF 10.2 $2.6k 3.9
Bo Naylor OF 9.9 $2.7k 3.7
Daniel Schneemann OF 9.7 $3.2k 3.0
Carlos Santana OF 10.3 $3.5k 2.9
Kyle Manzardo OF 12.0 $4.2k 2.9
Will Benson OF 7.8 $2.8k 2.8
Santiago Espinal OF 7.9 $3.2k 2.5
Spencer Steer OF 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Gavin Lux OF 8.2 $3.5k 2.4
José Ramírez OF 12.1 $5.3k 2.3
Tyler Stephenson OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Gabriel Arias OF 7.9 $3.6k 2.2
Steven Kwan OF 9.7 $4.6k 2.1
Tanner Bibee SP 14.2 $7.0k 2.0
TJ Friedl OF 8.3 $4.1k 2.0
Austin Hays OF 9.4 $4.7k 2.0
Matt McLain OF 8.2 $4.5k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 9.1 $5.7k 1.6
Brady Singer SP 10.7 $8.3k 1.3
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+466 · $466 per $100
LOSS
CLE 54% 46% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.6% 13.4%
6.5 80.6% 19.4%
7.5 73.9% 26.1%
8.5 65.8% 34.2%
9.5 56.2% 43.8%
10.5 47.7% 52.3%
11.5 39.1% 60.9%
12.5 31.9% 68.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversCLE covers
CIN -1.5 33.3% 41.8%
CIN -2.5 23.4% 31.2%
CIN -3.5 17.0% 24.2%
Team Totals
LineCINCLE
O 3.5 65.7% 72.4%
O 4.5 51.0% 60.3%
O 5.5 39.5% 49.0%
O 6.5 29.4% 37.7%
Odds
moneyline CLE 54% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookCLEImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs CIN 5.5 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs CLE 4.4 BET ✓
BookCLECIN
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -105 U 9.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 12.1 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 12.0 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 10.3 —
Nolan Jones 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.2 —
Bo Naylor C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 9.7 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Will Brennan LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Bibee Starter 5.8 5.9 5.7 2.2 3.2 49% 100% 14.2 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.4 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 9.1 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Matt McLain 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Will Benson LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brady Singer Starter 5.6 5.2 6.3 2.4 3.7 43% 100% 10.7 —