Chicago White Sox

42% win

pred 7.2

FINAL

Chicago Cubs

58% win

pred 4.2

2025-05-16 Wrigley Field 0°F

Best Bets

Chicago White Sox +1.5

SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +4.4 off line

-105 · $300 bet · $285 profit

Model: 4.2 - 7.2

LOSS

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 68%

-238 · $42 per $100

WIN

Chicago White Sox +1.5

RL · 4.4 off line

-105 · $95 per $100

LOSS

UNDER 11.5

TOTAL · Proj 11.4 vs Line 11.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Chicago Cubs ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + UNDER 11.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+429 · $429 per $100

LOSS

CWS 42% 58% CHC

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	76.1%	23.9%
6.5	69.0%	31.0%
7.5	57.5%	42.5%
8.5	48.0%	52.0%
9.5	38.7%	61.3%
10.5	32.3%	67.7%
11.5	25.5%	74.5%
12.5	20.1%	79.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CHC covers	CWS covers
CHC -1.5	39.0%	32.5%
CHC -2.5	26.6%	24.9%
CHC -3.5	18.6%	17.8%

Team Totals

Line	CHC	CWS
O 3.5	59.8%	54.1%
O 4.5	44.4%	41.6%
O 5.5	31.3%	29.8%
O 6.5	23.2%	21.6%

Odds

moneyline CHC 58% · -238 · $42 per $100

Book	CWS	Impl%	CHC	Impl%
DraftKings	+195	32.5%	-238	67.5%

runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -105 · $95 per $100

CHC -1.5: CHC 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs CWS 7.2 no bet

CWS +1.5: CWS 7.2 + 1.5 = 8.7 vs CHC 4.2 BET ✗

Book	CWS		CHC
DraftKings	+1.5	-105	-1.5	-115

total Under 11.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 11.5 -115	U 11.5 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Chicago White Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	9.2	—
Miguel Vargas	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.8	—
Joshua Palacios	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.6	—
Andrew Vaughn	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	8.6	—
Matt Thaiss	1B	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.7	1.1	8.5	—
Chase Meidroth	SS	0.9	0.0	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.5	0.9	8.2	—
Josh Rojas	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.9	—
Brooks Baldwin	2B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.2	1.1	7.7	—
Edgar Quero	C	0.9	0.0	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.4	0.7	7.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shane Smith	Starter	5.8	5.6	5.3	2.2	2.7	42%	100%	5.7	—

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Kyle Tucker	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	0.9	15.2	—
Seiya Suzuki	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	14.9	—
Michael Busch	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	14.4	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	1.1	14.3	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	12.6	—
Carson Kelly	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	11.8	—
Moisés Ballesteros	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.8	—
Jon Berti	3B	0.8	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.6	—
Nico Hoerner	2B	0.9	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Cade Horton	Starter	5.4	5.2	4.8	2.3	2.4	51%	100%	11.7	—