Chicago White Sox
37% win
1
pred 5.1
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
63% win
7
pred 4
2025-05-15 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andrew Vaughn OF 8.9 $2.5k 3.6
Joshua Palacios OF 8.2 $2.3k 3.6
Josh Rojas OF 8.1 $2.4k 3.4
Connor Joe OF 7.3 $2.2k 3.3
Jacob Amaya OF 6.6 $2.0k 3.3
Will Benson OF 9.7 $3.0k 3.2
Lenyn Sosa OF 8.0 $2.6k 3.1
Brooks Baldwin OF 7.8 $2.7k 2.9
Gavin Lux OF 9.8 $3.7k 2.7
Miguel Vargas OF 8.5 $3.3k 2.6
Matt Thaiss OF 7.4 $2.9k 2.6
Spencer Steer OF 8.9 $3.6k 2.5
Santiago Espinal OF 8.4 $3.4k 2.5
Matt McLain OF 10.2 $4.5k 2.3
Tyler Stephenson OF 9.4 $4.2k 2.3
Nick Martinez SP 18.0 $8.3k 2.2
Austin Hays OF 10.1 $4.7k 2.1
Luis Robert Jr. OF 8.1 $4.5k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 9.7 $5.7k 1.7
Bryse Wilson SP 7.0 $5.0k 1.4
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 68%
-238 · $42 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+437 · $437 per $100
LOSS
CWS 37% 63% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.4% 18.6%
6.5 75.3% 24.7%
7.5 65.6% 34.4%
8.5 56.9% 43.1%
9.5 45.8% 54.2%
10.5 38.7% 61.3%
11.5 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 25.1% 74.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversCWS covers
CIN -1.5 43.6% 28.3%
CIN -2.5 31.6% 20.6%
CIN -3.5 22.7% 14.0%
Team Totals
LineCINCWS
O 3.5 66.7% 57.5%
O 4.5 52.3% 45.0%
O 5.5 41.8% 32.0%
O 6.5 30.0% 22.4%
Odds
moneyline CIN 63% · -238 · $42 per $100
BookCWSImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +195 32.5% -238 67.5%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -102 · $98 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs CWS 5.1 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs CIN 4.0 BET ✗
BookCWSCIN
DraftKings +1.5 -102 -1.5 -118
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -122 U 9.0 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Vaughn 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Josh Rojas 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.0 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.8 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Jacob Amaya SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bryse Wilson Starter 4.0 3.6 4.3 1.6 2.5 15% 100% 7.0 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.2 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.1 —
Gavin Lux 2B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.8 —
Will Benson LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.4 —
Connor Joe OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Martinez Starter 6.0 5.7 5.6 2.0 2.8 57% 100% 18.0 —