Minnesota Twins
48% win
4
pred 4.9
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
52% win
0
pred 4
2025-05-15 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. OF 6.2 $2.0k 3.1
Kody Clemens OF 8.6 $2.8k 3.1
Emmanuel Rivera OF 7.6 $2.8k 2.7
Brooks Lee OF 8.0 $3.0k 2.7
Heston Kjerstad OF 8.4 $3.2k 2.6
Ryan Mountcastle OF 8.7 $3.5k 2.5
Willi Castro OF 7.7 $3.1k 2.5
Trevor Larnach OF 9.1 $3.7k 2.5
Jackson Holliday OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Ryan Jeffers OF 8.0 $3.6k 2.2
Carlos Correa OF 7.5 $3.4k 2.2
Tyler O'Neill OF 9.2 $4.2k 2.2
Ryan O'Hearn OF 9.4 $4.4k 2.2
Gunnar Henderson OF 11.5 $5.5k 2.1
Adley Rutschman OF 9.1 $4.6k 2.0
Cedric Mullins OF 9.3 $5.0k 1.9
Byron Buxton OF 9.9 $5.4k 1.8
Royce Lewis OF 7.5 $4.2k 1.8
Tomoyuki Sugano SP 13.6 $8.0k 1.7
Chris Paddack SP 9.8 $7.3k 1.4
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+420 · $420 per $100
LOSS
MIN 48% 52% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 76.1% 23.9%
6.5 68.9% 31.1%
7.5 57.6% 42.4%
8.5 48.2% 51.8%
9.5 38.2% 61.8%
10.5 32.2% 67.8%
11.5 24.9% 75.1%
12.5 19.2% 80.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversMIN covers
BAL -1.5 36.7% 34.2%
BAL -2.5 25.4% 25.6%
BAL -3.5 16.6% 18.6%
Team Totals
LineBALMIN
O 3.5 58.2% 55.4%
O 4.5 43.5% 42.7%
O 5.5 31.4% 31.6%
O 6.5 21.7% 22.9%
Odds
moneyline BAL 52% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookMINImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs MIN 4.9 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs BAL 4.0 BET ✓
BookMINBAL
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -115 U 9.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.9 —
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Kody Clemens 2B 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 8.6 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 8.0 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Royce Lewis 3B 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.5 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. CF 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Paddack Starter 5.6 5.4 5.6 1.9 3.0 44% 100% 9.8 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 11.5 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.4 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.3 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.2 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.4 —
Emmanuel Rivera 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano Starter 6.2 5.1 5.6 1.6 2.8 51% 100% 13.6 —