Los Angeles Angels
38% win
1
pred 4.1
FINAL
San Diego Padres
62% win
5
pred 3.8
2025-05-14 Petco Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 20.0 $4.1k 4.9
Randy Vásquez UTIL 22.5 $5.3k 4.3
Taylor Ward UTIL 14.0 $3.4k 4.1
Jake Cronenworth UTIL 15.0 $4.0k 3.8
Manny Machado UTIL 14.0 $5.4k 2.6
Brandon Lockridge UTIL 7.0 $2.8k 2.5
Kyle Hendricks UTIL 11.9 $5.5k 2.2
Matthew Lugo UTIL 5.0 $2.5k 2.0
Jo Adell UTIL 5.0 $2.7k 1.9
Robert Suarez UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Luis Arraez UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Reid Detmers UTIL 5.7 $5.5k 1.0
Jorge Soler UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Martín Maldonado UTIL 2.0 $2.6k 0.8
Nolan Schanuel UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
Adrian Morejon UTIL 2.3 $5.3k 0.4
Alek Jacob UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 2.0 $6.0k 0.3
Brock Burke UTIL 0.2 $4.0k 0.0
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 66%
-218 · $46 per $100
WIN
Los Angeles Angels +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.8 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + Los Angeles Angels +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+401 · $401 per $100
LOSS
LAA 38% 62% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.5% 14.5%
6.5 80.0% 20.0%
7.5 72.0% 28.0%
8.5 65.0% 35.0%
9.5 53.9% 46.1%
10.5 47.1% 52.9%
11.5 38.3% 61.7%
12.5 31.4% 68.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversLAA covers
SD -1.5 38.6% 34.4%
SD -2.5 28.8% 25.1%
SD -3.5 19.8% 17.6%
Team Totals
LineSDLAA
O 3.5 68.3% 65.9%
O 4.5 56.6% 54.0%
O 5.5 45.1% 40.1%
O 6.5 32.8% 28.6%
Odds
moneyline SD 62% · -218 · $46 per $100
BookLAAImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings +180 34.2% -218 65.8%
runline Los Angeles Angels +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs LAA 4.1 no bet
LAA +1.5: LAA 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs SD 3.8 BET ✗
BookLAASD
DraftKings +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Los Angeles Angels
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jorge Soler RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Zach Neto SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Taylor Ward LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Yoán Moncada 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Matthew Lugo LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.4 —
Nolan Schanuel 1B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 7.7 —
Jo Adell CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Travis d'Arnaud C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Tim Anderson SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Hendricks Starter 5.6 4.3 6.2 1.9 3.3 43% 100% 10.6 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 11.3 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.5 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.3 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.6 —
Gavin Sheets LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 7.7 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.6 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Randy Vásquez Starter 5.6 5.0 5.9 2.4 3.4 48% 100% 15.4 —