Kansas City Royals
43% win
3
pred 4.8
FINAL
Houston Astros
57% win
4
pred 4.3
2025-05-14 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 16.0 $2.7k 5.9
Maikel Garcia UTIL 21.0 $4.3k 4.9
Jeremy Peña UTIL 18.0 $3.9k 4.6
Isaac Paredes UTIL 16.0 $3.7k 4.3
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 17.0 $5.9k 2.9
Jonathan India UTIL 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Bryan King UTIL 7.7 $4.0k 1.9
Mark Canha UTIL 5.0 $2.9k 1.7
Michael Lorenzen UTIL 13.7 $8.2k 1.7
Kaleb Ort UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 5.0 $3.3k 1.5
Shawn Dubin UTIL 9.2 $7.0k 1.3
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 4.0 $3.2k 1.3
Michael Massey UTIL 3.0 $2.8k 1.1
Drew Waters UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Josh Hader UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Chas McCormick UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Colton Gordon UTIL 5.0 $7.0k 0.7
Carlos Estévez UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Best Bets
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.6 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.1 vs Line: 7.5
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+401 · $401 per $100
LOSS
KC 43% 57% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.3% 15.7%
6.5 76.0% 24.0%
7.5 66.1% 33.9%
8.5 58.0% 42.0%
9.5 48.1% 51.9%
10.5 40.0% 60.0%
11.5 31.5% 68.5%
12.5 25.3% 74.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversKC covers
HOU -1.5 35.9% 37.0%
HOU -2.5 24.9% 28.0%
HOU -3.5 18.9% 20.8%
Team Totals
LineHOUKC
O 3.5 65.9% 63.6%
O 4.5 51.6% 51.0%
O 5.5 36.6% 38.6%
O 6.5 24.2% 29.3%
Odds
moneyline HOU 57% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookKCImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs KC 4.8 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs HOU 4.3 BET ✓
BookKCHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.4 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 7.8 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.5 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.4 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.3 —
Drew Waters RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Lorenzen Starter 5.8 5.1 6.0 2.1 3.3 46% 100% 13.2 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.3 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Colton Gordon Starter 5.3 4.6 5.4 1.8 2.8 46% 100% 15.9 —