Boston Red Sox
29% win
5
pred 4.1
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
71% win
6
pred 3.4
2025-05-14 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Colt Keith OF 8.1 $2.7k 3.0
Nick Sogard OF 6.0 $2.2k 2.8
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.7 $3.7k 2.6
Trey Sweeney OF 6.8 $2.9k 2.3
Tarik Skubal SP 23.4 $10.5k 2.2
Riley Greene OF 8.6 $3.9k 2.2
Zach McKinstry OF 7.9 $3.6k 2.2
Rob Refsnyder OF 7.2 $3.5k 2.1
Javier Báez OF 6.8 $3.4k 2.0
Carlos Narváez OF 6.2 $3.2k 1.9
Dillon Dingler OF 7.8 $4.1k 1.9
Hunter Dobbins SP 14.0 $7.5k 1.9
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.3 $3.4k 1.9
Trevor Story OF 6.6 $4.0k 1.6
Kristian Campbell OF 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Gleyber Torres OF 8.1 $5.2k 1.6
Alex Bregman OF 7.9 $5.3k 1.5
Rafael Devers OF 7.2 $5.0k 1.4
Jarren Duran OF 7.0 $5.1k 1.4
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 71% vs Mkt 66%
-225 · $44 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.6 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+402 · $402 per $100
WIN
BOS 29% 71% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.8% 21.2%
6.5 72.4% 27.6%
7.5 61.3% 38.7%
8.5 51.6% 48.4%
9.5 42.3% 57.7%
10.5 34.2% 65.8%
11.5 26.6% 73.4%
12.5 20.5% 79.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversBOS covers
DET -1.5 40.5% 31.2%
DET -2.5 28.2% 23.1%
DET -3.5 19.8% 17.3%
Team Totals
LineDETBOS
O 3.5 63.0% 55.6%
O 4.5 49.3% 42.5%
O 5.5 35.4% 31.8%
O 6.5 24.1% 21.8%
Odds
moneyline DET 71% · -225 · $44 per $100
BookBOSImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +185 33.7% -225 66.3%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -122 · $82 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs BOS 4.1 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs DET 3.4 BET ✓
BookBOSDET
DraftKings +1.5 -122 -1.5 +102
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -122 U 7.0 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Rob Refsnyder RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.2 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.2 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.2 7.0 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.0 —
Trevor Story SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 6.6 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.1 6.3 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Nick Sogard 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Dobbins Starter 6.0 5.7 6.4 1.6 3.3 42% 100% 14.0 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.7 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.6 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Colt Keith 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.8 —
Akil Baddoo LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tarik Skubal Starter 6.1 6.7 5.7 1.7 2.7 54% 100% 23.4 —