New York Yankees
48% win
3
pred 3.7
FINAL
Seattle Mariners
52% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-05-14 T-Mobile Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Miles Mastrobuoni OF 7.5 $2.5k 3.0
Jorbit Vivas OF 6.3 $2.4k 2.6
DJ LeMahieu OF 6.7 $2.7k 2.5
Rowdy Tellez OF 6.6 $2.8k 2.3
J.C. Escarra OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Will Warren SP 16.3 $8.0k 2.0
Leody Taveras OF 5.8 $2.9k 2.0
Cody Bellinger OF 8.8 $4.5k 2.0
Ben Williamson OF 5.7 $3.0k 1.9
Trent Grisham OF 9.1 $4.8k 1.9
Jasson Domínguez OF 7.7 $4.1k 1.9
Anthony Volpe OF 7.8 $4.2k 1.9
Luis Castillo SP 15.8 $8.5k 1.9
Ben Rice OF 9.1 $5.2k 1.8
Julio Rodríguez OF 7.8 $4.5k 1.7
Leo Rivas OF 5.5 $3.4k 1.6
Jorge Polanco OF 7.9 $4.9k 1.6
Randy Arozarena OF 7.0 $4.4k 1.6
Aaron Judge OF 10.3 $6.5k 1.6
Cal Raleigh OF 7.1 $5.0k 1.4
Predictions
Seattle Mariners
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
Seattle Mariners +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Seattle Mariners ML + Seattle Mariners +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+494 · $494 per $100
LOSS
NYY 48% 52% SEA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.9% 17.1%
6.5 75.9% 24.1%
7.5 64.6% 35.4%
8.5 58.2% 41.8%
9.5 48.3% 51.7%
10.5 40.4% 59.6%
11.5 30.9% 69.1%
12.5 24.1% 75.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineSEA coversNYY covers
SEA -1.5 38.1% 34.9%
SEA -2.5 26.1% 27.0%
SEA -3.5 17.0% 19.8%
Team Totals
LineSEANYY
O 3.5 65.1% 61.8%
O 4.5 50.6% 47.7%
O 5.5 37.9% 37.7%
O 6.5 25.4% 28.6%
Odds
moneyline SEA 52% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookNYYImpl%SEAImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Seattle Mariners +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs SEA 4.5 no bet
SEA +1.5: SEA 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs NYY 3.7 BET ✓
BookNYYSEA
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 10.3 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.1 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.8 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
J.C. Escarra C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 6.8 —
DJ LeMahieu 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.7 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Will Warren Starter 5.3 5.7 5.5 2.2 3.1 40% 100% 16.3 —
Seattle Mariners
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jorge Polanco 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Julio Rodríguez CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Miles Mastrobuoni 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.5 —
Cal Raleigh C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.1 —
Randy Arozarena LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.0 —
Rowdy Tellez 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.6 —
Leody Taveras OF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.8 —
Ben Williamson 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.7 —
Leo Rivas 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.9 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luis Castillo Starter 5.9 5.9 5.3 2.6 3.0 52% 100% 15.8 —