Milwaukee Brewers
46% win
9
pred 4.2
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
54% win
5
pred 4.5
2025-05-14 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andruw Monasterio OF 7.3 $2.3k 3.2
Jhonkensy Noel OF 6.9 $2.2k 3.2
Nolan Jones OF 7.3 $2.8k 2.6
Logan Henderson SP 19.2 $7.7k 2.5
Austin Hedges OF 5.9 $2.4k 2.4
Daniel Schneemann OF 7.8 $3.3k 2.4
Caleb Durbin OF 6.6 $2.9k 2.3
Rhys Hoskins OF 8.1 $3.6k 2.2
Sal Frelick OF 8.2 $3.7k 2.2
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.8 $4.2k 2.1
Gavin Williams SP 16.2 $7.8k 2.1
Gabriel Arias OF 7.4 $3.6k 2.1
Jake Bauers OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
William Contreras OF 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Brice Turang OF 8.5 $4.5k 1.9
Christian Yelich OF 8.6 $4.5k 1.9
Angel Martínez OF 6.0 $3.2k 1.9
Steven Kwan OF 8.1 $4.6k 1.8
Jackson Chourio OF 8.3 $5.1k 1.6
José Ramírez OF 8.5 $5.3k 1.6
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+450 · $450 per $100
LOSS
MIL 46% 54% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.4% 16.6%
6.5 76.7% 23.3%
7.5 66.5% 33.5%
8.5 57.9% 42.1%
9.5 47.3% 52.7%
10.5 41.3% 58.7%
11.5 32.7% 67.3%
12.5 25.9% 74.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversMIL covers
CLE -1.5 34.7% 39.4%
CLE -2.5 23.1% 30.1%
CLE -3.5 15.8% 22.4%
Team Totals
LineCLEMIL
O 3.5 61.4% 64.4%
O 4.5 46.7% 53.1%
O 5.5 35.5% 41.6%
O 6.5 24.6% 29.1%
Odds
moneyline CLE 54% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookMILImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
MIL -1.5: MIL 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs CLE 4.5 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs MIL 4.2 BET ✗
BookMILCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Yelich LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.1 8.6 —
Brice Turang 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.9 8.5 —
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 8.2 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.1 —
William Contreras C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.0 —
Andruw Monasterio SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Henderson Starter 5.3 5.2 5.1 2.0 2.8 46% 100% 19.2 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 8.5 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 8.1 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 7.8 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.3 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.9 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.0 —
Austin Hedges C 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gavin Williams Starter 5.6 5.7 5.7 2.8 3.2 46% 100% 16.2 —