Kansas City Royals
32% win
1
pred 4
FINAL
Houston Astros
68% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-05-13 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Isaac Paredes UTIL 17.0 $3.7k 4.6
Jeremy Peña UTIL 17.0 $3.8k 4.5
Framber Valdez UTIL 25.2 $8.5k 3.0
Kris Bubic UTIL 26.1 $9.7k 2.7
Jonathan India UTIL 8.0 $3.2k 2.5
Bryan Abreu UTIL 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
Freddy Fermin UTIL 5.0 $2.6k 1.9
Jake Meyers UTIL 6.0 $3.9k 1.5
Lucas Erceg UTIL 5.8 $4.0k 1.4
Jose Altuve UTIL 5.0 $4.6k 1.1
Mark Canha UTIL 3.0 $2.9k 1.0
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Maikel Garcia UTIL 4.0 $4.5k 0.9
Chas McCormick UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★★★ ELITE · +15.5% edge
-122 · $300 bet · $246 profit
Model: 68% vs Market: 53%
WIN
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 68% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+423 · $423 per $100
LOSS
KC 32% 68% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 73.9% 26.1%
7.5 62.5% 37.5%
8.5 53.0% 47.0%
9.5 43.6% 56.4%
10.5 36.3% 63.7%
11.5 27.1% 72.9%
12.5 21.2% 78.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversKC covers
HOU -1.5 36.0% 33.8%
HOU -2.5 25.3% 25.0%
HOU -3.5 18.5% 17.2%
Team Totals
LineHOUKC
O 3.5 60.1% 60.6%
O 4.5 47.1% 47.5%
O 5.5 34.6% 34.3%
O 6.5 24.8% 23.4%
Odds
moneyline HOU 68% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookKCImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs HOU 4.5 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs KC 4.0 BET ✓
BookKCHOU
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -115 U 8.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 9.1 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.9 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.7 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.6 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Salvador Perez C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kris Bubic Starter 6.1 5.7 6.3 2.3 3.3 45% 100% 17.2 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.8 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Cam Smith RF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 6.2 5.6 5.9 2.1 3.0 50% 100% 12.7 —