Chicago White Sox
38% win
5
pred 4.7
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
62% win
1
pred 5.2
2025-05-13 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andrew Vaughn OF 8.2 $2.2k 3.7
Lenyn Sosa OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Josh Rojas OF 6.2 $2.2k 2.8
Jonathan Cannon SP 20.2 $7.5k 2.7
Miguel Vargas OF 7.4 $2.8k 2.7
Tim Elko OF 6.0 $2.5k 2.4
Santiago Espinal OF 8.1 $3.4k 2.4
Chase Meidroth OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.4
Andrew Abbott SP 17.9 $8.5k 2.1
Edgar Quero OF 7.3 $3.5k 2.1
Connor Joe OF 4.8 $2.3k 2.1
TJ Friedl OF 8.8 $4.3k 2.1
Michael A. Taylor OF 6.0 $3.4k 1.8
Luis Robert Jr. OF 7.9 $4.5k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 8.8 $5.7k 1.5
Spencer Steer OF 5.2 $3.4k 1.5
Gavin Lux OF 5.4 $3.8k 1.4
Tyler Stephenson OF 5.8 $4.3k 1.4
Austin Hays OF 5.7 $4.6k 1.3
Matt McLain OF 5.5 $4.7k 1.2
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 1.0 off line
-118 · $85 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+425 · $425 per $100
LOSS
CWS 38% 62% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.8% 17.2%
6.5 76.7% 23.3%
7.5 66.8% 33.2%
8.5 58.4% 41.6%
9.5 47.8% 52.2%
10.5 39.1% 60.9%
11.5 31.8% 68.2%
12.5 25.5% 74.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversCWS covers
CIN -1.5 42.0% 28.9%
CIN -2.5 30.4% 20.6%
CIN -3.5 23.0% 14.8%
Team Totals
LineCINCWS
O 3.5 67.8% 58.0%
O 4.5 55.0% 45.4%
O 5.5 41.9% 33.5%
O 6.5 31.5% 23.3%
Odds
moneyline CIN 62% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookCWSImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -118 · $85 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 5.2 − 1.5 = 3.7 vs CWS 4.7 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs CIN 5.2 BET ✓
BookCWSCIN
DraftKings +1.5 -118 -1.5 -102
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 +102 U 9.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.4 —
Edgar Quero C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Josh Rojas 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.2 —
Tim Elko 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.0 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Cannon Starter 5.7 5.0 6.2 2.3 3.5 40% 100% 20.2 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.1 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.8 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.7 —
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 5.5 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 5.4 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 5.2 —
Connor Joe OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 4.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Abbott Starter 5.1 5.2 4.7 2.1 2.5 49% 100% 17.9 —