Boston Red Sox
48% win
9
pred 4.5
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
52% win
10
pred 3.9
2025-05-13 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Sogard OF 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Tyler Holton SP 12.5 $4.0k 3.1
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.9 $3.6k 2.8
Jace Jung OF 6.4 $2.4k 2.7
Trey Sweeney OF 7.1 $2.8k 2.6
Riley Greene OF 8.8 $3.9k 2.3
Zach McKinstry OF 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Javier Báez OF 6.7 $3.3k 2.0
David Hamilton OF 5.1 $2.6k 2.0
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.7 $4.9k 1.8
Kristian Campbell OF 8.1 $4.6k 1.8
Dillon Dingler OF 7.2 $4.1k 1.8
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.3 $4.8k 1.7
Rafael Devers OF 8.6 $5.0k 1.7
Brayan Bello SP 13.3 $7.7k 1.7
Alex Bregman OF 9.3 $5.6k 1.7
Jarren Duran OF 8.3 $5.0k 1.7
Gleyber Torres OF 8.3 $5.1k 1.6
Carlos Narváez OF 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 5.0 $3.5k 1.4
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 0.9 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+486 · $486 per $100
LOSS
BOS 48% 52% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.2% 19.8%
6.5 72.0% 28.0%
7.5 61.6% 38.4%
8.5 52.6% 47.4%
9.5 43.6% 56.4%
10.5 35.4% 64.6%
11.5 28.5% 71.5%
12.5 23.4% 76.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversBOS covers
DET -1.5 38.6% 36.4%
DET -2.5 28.4% 26.8%
DET -3.5 19.6% 18.0%
Team Totals
LineDETBOS
O 3.5 61.7% 59.6%
O 4.5 49.1% 45.5%
O 5.5 36.7% 32.9%
O 6.5 24.9% 24.0%
Odds
moneyline DET 52% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookBOSImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs DET 3.9 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 3.9 + 1.5 = 5.4 vs BOS 4.5 BET ✓
BookBOSDET
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -110 U 8.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.3 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Nick Sogard 2B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 5.1 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.0 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.8 5.6 6.0 2.4 3.3 45% 100% 13.3 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.2 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tyler Holton Starter 3.9 3.7 3.5 1.2 1.7 12% 100% 12.5 —