Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros — 2025-05-12 | AI Sports Metrics

Kansas City Royals

39% win

7

pred 4.5

FINAL

61% win

5

pred 4.5

2025-05-12 Daikin Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Massey	UTIL	18.0	$2.6k	6.9
Jonathan India	UTIL	15.0	$3.1k	4.8
Kyle Isbel	UTIL	12.0	$2.8k	4.3
Jake Meyers	UTIL	14.0	$4.0k	3.5
Yainer Diaz	UTIL	10.0	$3.4k	2.9
Zach Dezenzo	UTIL	9.0	$3.2k	2.8
Bobby Witt Jr.	UTIL	17.0	$6.1k	2.8
Vinnie Pasquantino	UTIL	8.0	$3.2k	2.5
Victor Caratini	UTIL	7.0	$2.8k	2.5
Cam Smith	UTIL	7.0	$3.0k	2.3
Drew Waters	UTIL	7.0	$3.0k	2.3
Jeremy Peña	UTIL	8.0	$3.9k	2.1
Michael Wacha	UTIL	14.3	$7.9k	1.8
Cavan Biggio	UTIL	4.0	$2.4k	1.7
Bennett Sousa	UTIL	5.9	$4.0k	1.5
Jose Altuve	UTIL	6.0	$4.6k	1.3
John Schreiber	UTIL	4.9	$4.0k	1.2
Isaac Paredes	UTIL	4.0	$3.8k	1.1
Steven Okert	UTIL	3.9	$4.0k	1.0
Carlos Estévez	UTIL	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Kaleb Ort	UTIL	1.7	$4.0k	0.4
Lucas Erceg	UTIL	1.5	$4.0k	0.4

Best Bets

Houston Astros

ML ★★★ ELITE · +10.6% edge

Model: 61% vs Market: 50%

LOSS

Predictions

Houston Astros

ML · Model 61%

LOSS

KC 39% 61% HOU

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.9%	17.1%
6.5	76.2%	23.8%
7.5	67.5%	32.5%
8.5	59.1%	40.9%
9.5	49.1%	50.9%
10.5	41.2%	58.8%
11.5	33.3%	66.7%
12.5	27.0%	73.0%

Run Line (margin)

Line	HOU covers	KC covers
HOU -1.5	36.3%	38.8%
HOU -2.5	25.6%	30.1%
HOU -3.5	18.4%	22.2%

Team Totals

Line	HOU	KC
O 3.5	62.7%	65.7%
O 4.5	50.7%	52.5%
O 5.5	37.2%	41.4%
O 6.5	28.3%	30.6%

Player Projections actual (projected)

Kansas City Royals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.1	—
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.3	1.0	8.4	—
Jonathan India	2B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.3	—
Salvador Perez	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.6	—
Maikel Garcia	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.9	7.4	—
Michael Massey	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.1	—
Cavan Biggio	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.9	—
Kyle Isbel	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.9	6.4	—
Drew Waters	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael Wacha	Starter	5.7	5.1	5.9	1.9	3.1	48%	100%	13.5	—

Houston Astros

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Christian Walker	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.5	—
Jose Altuve	LF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Jeremy Peña	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Isaac Paredes	3B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Victor Caratini	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.6	—
Yainer Diaz	C	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.8	7.2	—
Zach Dezenzo	1B	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.2	—
Cam Smith	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.4	—
Jake Meyers	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	6.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Ryan Gusto	Starter	4.9	4.9	5.0	1.6	2.5	40%	100%	14.3	—