St. Louis Cardinals
50% win
3
pred 5
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
50% win
2
pred 4
2025-05-12 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Weston Wilson OF 9.7 $3.3k 2.9
José Barrero OF 6.7 $2.5k 2.7
Alec Bohm OF 8.3 $3.2k 2.6
Masyn Winn OF 8.8 $3.5k 2.5
Pedro Pagés OF 7.8 $3.2k 2.5
Nick Castellanos OF 10.7 $4.4k 2.4
Willson Contreras OF 8.9 $3.7k 2.4
J.T. Realmuto OF 9.4 $4.0k 2.4
Cristopher Sánchez SP 18.2 $8.0k 2.3
Jordan Walker OF 7.0 $3.1k 2.3
Edmundo Sosa OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.2
Lars Nootbaar OF 9.5 $4.5k 2.1
Nolan Arenado OF 7.8 $3.8k 2.1
Kyle Schwarber OF 11.5 $5.8k 2.0
Bryce Harper OF 10.8 $5.5k 2.0
Brendan Donovan OF 8.3 $4.3k 1.9
Johan Rojas OF 6.4 $3.4k 1.9
Iván Herrera OF 8.1 $4.3k 1.9
Trea Turner OF 9.1 $5.4k 1.7
Matthew Liberatore SP 10.8 $7.7k 1.4
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 61%
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
STL 50% 50% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.2% 16.8%
6.5 75.8% 24.2%
7.5 68.8% 31.2%
8.5 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 51.1% 48.9%
10.5 44.2% 55.8%
11.5 34.1% 65.9%
12.5 26.1% 73.9%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversSTL covers
PHI -1.5 36.8% 40.1%
PHI -2.5 26.3% 29.0%
PHI -3.5 18.2% 22.9%
Team Totals
LinePHISTL
O 3.5 63.0% 65.4%
O 4.5 48.4% 53.3%
O 5.5 37.3% 39.8%
O 6.5 27.6% 30.5%
Odds
moneyline PHI 50% · -175 · $57 per $100
BookSTLImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +145 39.1% -175 60.9%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs STL 5.0 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs PHI 4.0 BET ✓
BookSTLPHI
DraftKings +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -115 U 8.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.5 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Iván Herrera C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
José Barrero SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Liberatore Starter 6.4 6.2 6.4 2.4 3.4 49% 100% 10.8 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 11.5 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.8 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.7 —
Weston Wilson 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.4 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Edmundo Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cristopher Sánchez Starter 5.9 5.7 6.1 2.2 3.2 46% 100% 18.2 —