Boston Red Sox
56% win
2
pred 3.9
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
44% win
14
pred 5
2025-05-12 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Abraham Toro OF 8.0 $2.0k 4.0
Colt Keith OF 8.5 $2.4k 3.6
Connor Wong OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Trey Sweeney OF 7.2 $2.7k 2.7
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.8 $3.7k 2.6
Rafael Devers OF 11.3 $4.7k 2.4
Wilyer Abreu OF 11.1 $4.8k 2.3
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Riley Greene OF 8.6 $4.0k 2.2
Kristian Campbell OF 9.5 $4.4k 2.2
Trevor Story OF 8.8 $4.2k 2.1
Alex Bregman OF 11.7 $5.6k 2.1
Tanner Houck SP 13.8 $6.7k 2.1
Jarren Duran OF 10.0 $5.3k 1.9
Javier Báez OF 6.7 $3.6k 1.9
Zach McKinstry OF 7.2 $3.9k 1.9
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.2 $4.6k 1.8
Dillon Dingler OF 7.0 $4.1k 1.7
Gleyber Torres OF 8.7 $5.2k 1.7
Jackson Jobe SP 9.0 $7.0k 1.3
Best Bets
Boston Red Sox
ML ★ · +5.2% edge
-115 · $100 bet · $87 profit
Model: 56% vs Market: 51%
LOSS
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
LOSS
BOS 56% 44% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.3% 15.7%
6.5 76.9% 23.1%
7.5 66.1% 33.9%
8.5 59.5% 40.5%
9.5 48.6% 51.4%
10.5 40.1% 59.9%
11.5 33.2% 66.8%
12.5 26.8% 73.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversBOS covers
DET -1.5 30.5% 41.8%
DET -2.5 21.7% 32.7%
DET -3.5 16.2% 25.7%
Team Totals
LineDETBOS
O 3.5 58.3% 67.5%
O 4.5 46.0% 55.4%
O 5.5 34.2% 42.6%
O 6.5 24.3% 31.9%
Odds
moneyline BOS 56% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookBOSImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs DET 5.0 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs BOS 3.9 BET ✓
BookBOSDET
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 11.7 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.1 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.0 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.5 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.0 —
Abraham Toro 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.0 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Houck Starter 5.9 5.8 6.0 2.1 3.2 51% 100% 13.8 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.8 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Colt Keith 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.2 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.0 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Jobe Starter 5.0 4.3 5.2 2.2 3.0 37% 100% 9.0 —