Milwaukee Brewers
49% win
0
pred 4.2
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
51% win
5
pred 4.8
2025-05-12 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andruw Monasterio OF 6.9 $2.0k 3.5
Will Brennan OF 6.0 $2.0k 3.0
Rhys Hoskins OF 9.5 $3.6k 2.6
Daniel Schneemann OF 8.3 $3.2k 2.6
Carlos Santana OF 8.7 $3.4k 2.6
Bo Naylor OF 7.4 $3.0k 2.5
Nolan Jones OF 6.7 $2.9k 2.3
William Contreras OF 9.5 $4.2k 2.3
Sal Frelick OF 8.4 $3.7k 2.3
Jake Bauers OF 8.8 $3.9k 2.2
Christian Yelich OF 9.3 $4.3k 2.2
Caleb Durbin OF 6.5 $3.1k 2.1
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.4 $4.1k 2.1
Jackson Chourio OF 9.6 $5.1k 1.9
Brice Turang OF 8.6 $4.6k 1.9
Freddy Peralta SP 17.5 $9.5k 1.8
Steven Kwan OF 8.3 $4.5k 1.8
José Ramírez OF 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Gabriel Arias OF 5.8 $3.4k 1.7
Ben Lively SP 11.9 $7.3k 1.6
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +5.7% edge
+110 · $100 bet · $110 profit
Model: 51% vs Market: 46%
WIN
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 46%
+110 · $110 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+560 · $560 per $100
LOSS
MIL 49% 51% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.5% 17.5%
6.5 75.2% 24.8%
7.5 64.3% 35.7%
8.5 56.3% 43.7%
9.5 47.1% 52.9%
10.5 40.1% 59.9%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 24.0% 76.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversMIL covers
CLE -1.5 34.1% 40.7%
CLE -2.5 24.4% 31.2%
CLE -3.5 16.9% 24.3%
Team Totals
LineCLEMIL
O 3.5 60.4% 66.9%
O 4.5 45.3% 52.7%
O 5.5 34.1% 40.2%
O 6.5 24.1% 28.8%
Odds
moneyline CLE 51% · +110 · $110 per $100
BookMILImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
MIL -1.5: MIL 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs CLE 4.8 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs MIL 4.2 BET ✓
BookMILCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +130 +1.5 -155
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.6 —
William Contreras C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.5 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Christian Yelich LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Brice Turang 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 8.6 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Andruw Monasterio SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Freddy Peralta Starter 5.7 5.8 5.3 2.4 2.9 50% 100% 17.5 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.3 8.3 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.4 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Will Brennan LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 5.6 4.5 5.6 2.1 3.1 44% 100% 11.9 —