Philadelphia Phillies
56% win
3
pred 3.7
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
44% win
0
pred 4.6
2025-05-11 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddie Freeman UTIL 33.0 $6.1k 5.4
Mookie Betts UTIL 24.0 $5.7k 4.2
Will Smith UTIL 16.0 $4.3k 3.7
Michael Conforto UTIL 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Andy Pages UTIL 13.0 $4.2k 3.1
Tony Gonsolin UTIL 20.3 $9.2k 2.2
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 10.0 $6.6k 1.5
Hyeseong Kim UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Jack Dreyer UTIL 4.9 $4.0k 1.2
Miguel Rojas UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Enrique Hernández UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Max Muncy UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Tanner Scott UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Matt Sauer UTIL 2.3 $7.2k 0.3
Ben Casparius UTIL 1.8 $7.5k 0.2
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 62%
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-120 · $83 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+444 · $444 per $100
LOSS
PHI 56% 44% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.4% 17.6%
6.5 75.1% 24.9%
7.5 65.1% 34.9%
8.5 57.1% 42.9%
9.5 48.0% 52.0%
10.5 40.9% 59.1%
11.5 31.9% 68.1%
12.5 25.6% 74.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversPHI covers
CLE -1.5 32.5% 39.2%
CLE -2.5 22.6% 31.5%
CLE -3.5 15.2% 23.2%
Team Totals
LineCLEPHI
O 3.5 60.6% 65.6%
O 4.5 46.6% 52.5%
O 5.5 34.6% 39.8%
O 6.5 23.2% 29.0%
Odds
moneyline PHI 56% · -180 · $56 per $100
BookPHIImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -180 61.6% +150 38.4%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -120 · $83 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs CLE 4.6 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs PHI 3.7 BET ✗
BookPHICLE
DraftKings -1.5 +100 +1.5 -120
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.6 1.0 9.6 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.9 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Max Kepler RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.4 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zack Wheeler Starter 6.3 6.6 5.9 2.1 3.1 49% 100% 24.1 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 7.1 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.0 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 5.7 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.6 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.4 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 5.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luis Ortiz Starter 5.8 5.5 5.8 2.6 3.2 46% 100% 15.7 —