Los Angeles Dodgers
51% win
8
pred 5
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
49% win
1
pred 5.1
2025-05-11 Chase Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddie Freeman UTIL 33.0 $6.1k 5.4
Mookie Betts UTIL 24.0 $5.7k 4.2
Will Smith UTIL 16.0 $4.3k 3.7
Michael Conforto UTIL 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Andy Pages UTIL 13.0 $4.2k 3.1
Jose Herrera UTIL 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Tony Gonsolin UTIL 20.3 $9.2k 2.2
Pavin Smith UTIL 6.0 $3.9k 1.5
Alek Thomas UTIL 5.0 $3.3k 1.5
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 10.0 $6.6k 1.5
Hyeseong Kim UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Jack Dreyer UTIL 4.9 $4.0k 1.2
Josh Naylor UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Miguel Rojas UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
Enrique Hernández UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Zac Gallen UTIL 7.6 $8.4k 0.9
Max Muncy UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Tanner Scott UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Corbin Carroll UTIL 2.0 $6.0k 0.3
Matt Sauer UTIL 2.3 $7.2k 0.3
Ben Casparius UTIL 1.8 $7.5k 0.2
Predictions
Los Angeles Dodgers
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.1 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Los Angeles Dodgers ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+484 · $484 per $100
LOSS
LAD 51% 49% AZ
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.3% 17.7%
6.5 74.8% 25.2%
7.5 64.3% 35.7%
8.5 57.4% 42.6%
9.5 47.9% 52.1%
10.5 40.8% 59.2%
11.5 32.1% 67.9%
12.5 25.0% 75.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineAZ coversLAD covers
AZ -1.5 31.0% 42.4%
AZ -2.5 22.1% 30.9%
AZ -3.5 14.4% 22.9%
Team Totals
LineAZLAD
O 3.5 59.4% 64.9%
O 4.5 46.2% 52.5%
O 5.5 32.5% 39.4%
O 6.5 22.1% 31.7%
Odds
moneyline LAD 51% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookLADImpl%AZImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
LAD -1.5: LAD 5.0 − 1.5 = 3.5 vs AZ 5.1 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs LAD 5.0 BET ✗
BookLADAZ
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 +102 U 9.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Los Angeles Dodgers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shohei Ohtani TWP 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.3 12.5 —
Will Smith C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.3 —
Freddie Freeman 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.3 —
Mookie Betts SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.1 —
Max Muncy 3B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.5 —
Andy Pages CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.3 —
Michael Conforto LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
James Outman CF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Hyeseong Kim 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tony Gonsolin Starter 5.5 5.6 5.0 2.1 2.8 49% 100% 11.2 —
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.1 11.8 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 10.9 —
Pavin Smith 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 10.2 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.6 —
Josh Naylor 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.5 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Jose Herrera C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zac Gallen Starter 5.9 6.2 5.6 2.6 3.2 43% 100% 13.6 —