San Diego Padres
58% win
3
pred 4.8
FINAL
Colorado Rockies
42% win
9
pred 6.4
2025-05-11 Coors Field 0°F
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 74%
-340 · $29 per $100
LOSS
Colorado Rockies +1.5
RL · 3.0 off line
+190 · $190 per $100
WIN
UNDER 11.5
TOTAL · Proj 11.2 vs Line 11.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + Colorado Rockies +1.5 + UNDER 11.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+616 · $616 per $100
LOSS
SD 58% 42% COL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 90.4% 9.6%
6.5 85.4% 14.6%
7.5 77.1% 22.9%
8.5 69.8% 30.2%
9.5 60.8% 39.2%
10.5 51.2% 48.8%
11.5 40.6% 59.4%
12.5 35.7% 64.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineCOL coversSD covers
COL -1.5 22.1% 55.6%
COL -2.5 14.9% 44.8%
COL -3.5 11.0% 35.9%
Team Totals
LineCOLSD
O 3.5 58.7% 79.9%
O 4.5 45.0% 70.2%
O 5.5 34.7% 58.7%
O 6.5 23.6% 46.9%
Odds
moneyline SD 58% · -340 · $29 per $100
BookSDImpl%COLImpl%
DraftKings -340 74.1% +270 25.9%
runline Colorado Rockies +1.5 · +190 · $190 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs COL 6.4 no bet
COL +1.5: COL 6.4 + 1.5 = 7.9 vs SD 4.8 BET ✓
BookSDCOL
DraftKings -1.5 -230 +1.5 +190
total Under 11.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 11.5 -102 U 11.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.0 14.7 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.8 13.5 —
Gavin Sheets LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 12.2 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.3 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 10.9 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 10.9 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.7 —
Jason Heyward RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.3 —
Elias Díaz C 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.4 —
Tyler Wade SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.7 6.5 5.3 2.0 2.9 61% 100% 16.4 —
Colorado Rockies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Goodman C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 11.1 —
Mickey Moniak RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.1 —
Michael Toglia RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 10.1 —
Brenton Doyle CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.3 9.6 —
Ryan McMahon 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.6 —
Jordan Beck LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 9.3 —
Jacob Stallings C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.2 —
Kyle Farmer 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Alan Trejo 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Germán Márquez Starter 5.3 4.5 7.0 2.0 4.1 29% 100% 5.7 —