Miami Marlins
51% win
2
pred 3.6
FINAL
Chicago White Sox
49% win
4
pred 4.4
2025-05-11 Rate Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andrew Vaughn OF 8.6 $2.3k 3.7
Josh Rojas OF 8.1 $2.2k 3.7
Joshua Palacios OF 8.1 $2.2k 3.7
Lenyn Sosa OF 7.6 $2.4k 3.2
Eric Wagaman OF 9.2 $3.4k 2.7
Jesús Sánchez OF 9.7 $3.6k 2.7
Brooks Baldwin OF 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Matt Thaiss OF 7.8 $3.0k 2.6
Tim Elko OF 5.1 $2.0k 2.5
Agustín Ramírez OF 10.5 $4.2k 2.5
Chase Meidroth OF 7.7 $3.1k 2.5
Sean Burke SP 12.8 $5.3k 2.4
Javier Sanoja OF 7.2 $3.1k 2.3
Kyle Stowers OF 9.6 $4.3k 2.2
Connor Norby OF 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Nick Fortes OF 6.2 $3.0k 2.1
Matt Mervis OF 8.0 $3.9k 2.0
Sandy Alcantara SP 16.3 $8.2k 2.0
Michael A. Taylor OF 6.6 $3.4k 1.9
Xavier Edwards OF 8.7 $4.5k 1.9
Predictions
Miami Marlins
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
MIA 51% 49% CWS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 73.6% 26.4%
7.5 62.5% 37.5%
8.5 55.2% 44.8%
9.5 44.9% 55.1%
10.5 36.8% 63.2%
11.5 28.2% 71.8%
12.5 21.6% 78.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineCWS coversMIA covers
CWS -1.5 32.4% 41.2%
CWS -2.5 22.0% 31.8%
CWS -3.5 15.3% 23.7%
Team Totals
LineCWSMIA
O 3.5 57.7% 63.3%
O 4.5 43.5% 50.4%
O 5.5 31.1% 37.0%
O 6.5 20.8% 28.8%
Odds
moneyline MIA 51% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookMIAImpl%CWSImpl%
DraftKings -135 55.1% +114 44.9%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
MIA -1.5: MIA 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CWS 4.4 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs MIA 3.6 BET ✓
BookMIACWS
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Agustín Ramírez C 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 10.5 —
Jesús Sánchez RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.7 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.6 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.2 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 8.7 —
Connor Norby 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.2 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.6 5.0 5.3 2.2 2.8 50% 100% 16.3 —
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Vaughn 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Josh Rojas 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.8 —
Chase Meidroth SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.8 7.7 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Tim Elko 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sean Burke Starter 5.7 5.2 5.2 2.1 3.0 44% 100% 12.8 —