San Francisco Giants
49% win
6
pred 4.5
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
51% win
7
pred 4.2
2025-05-11 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Kody Clemens OF 7.5 $2.7k 2.8
Brett Wisely OF 5.8 $2.1k 2.8
LaMonte Wade Jr. OF 7.3 $2.7k 2.7
Sam Huff OF 6.5 $2.5k 2.6
Brooks Lee OF 7.9 $3.1k 2.6
Trevor Larnach OF 9.1 $3.7k 2.5
Ty France OF 7.9 $3.4k 2.3
Willi Castro OF 7.5 $3.3k 2.3
Ryan Jeffers OF 7.9 $3.6k 2.2
Luis Matos OF 6.3 $2.9k 2.2
Heliot Ramos OF 8.1 $3.8k 2.1
Matt Chapman OF 9.1 $4.3k 2.1
Mike Yastrzemski OF 9.0 $4.4k 2.0
Pablo López SP 18.6 $9.1k 2.0
Landen Roupp SP 14.4 $7.2k 2.0
Willy Adames OF 8.0 $4.1k 1.9
Harrison Bader OF 6.5 $3.4k 1.9
Byron Buxton OF 9.4 $5.2k 1.8
Royce Lewis OF 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Jung Hoo Lee OF 7.3 $4.5k 1.6
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
San Francisco Giants +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins ML + San Francisco Giants +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+399 · $399 per $100
WIN
SF 49% 51% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.6% 21.4%
6.5 70.3% 29.7%
7.5 60.3% 39.7%
8.5 51.4% 48.6%
9.5 41.8% 58.2%
10.5 34.5% 65.5%
11.5 25.9% 74.1%
12.5 20.3% 79.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversSF covers
MIN -1.5 37.2% 32.4%
MIN -2.5 25.4% 23.3%
MIN -3.5 17.8% 16.4%
Team Totals
LineMINSF
O 3.5 62.6% 56.8%
O 4.5 46.8% 43.4%
O 5.5 35.7% 31.4%
O 6.5 23.2% 23.3%
Odds
moneyline MIN 51% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookSFImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +136 40.7% -162 59.3%
runline San Francisco Giants +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs SF 4.5 no bet
SF +1.5: SF 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs MIN 4.2 BET ✓
BookSFMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Francisco Giants
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Chapman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.1 —
Mike Yastrzemski RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 9.0 —
Heliot Ramos LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Willy Adames SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.4 8.0 —
Jung Hoo Lee CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
LaMonte Wade Jr. LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Sam Huff C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.5 —
Luis Matos RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.3 —
Brett Wisely 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Landen Roupp Starter 5.8 6.0 5.9 2.2 3.2 44% 100% 14.4 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.4 —
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.1 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Kody Clemens 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Royce Lewis 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pablo López Starter 5.7 6.3 5.5 1.9 2.8 50% 100% 18.6 —