Texas Rangers
54% win
6
pred 4
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
46% win
1
pred 4.1
2025-05-11 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Joc Pederson OF 8.7 $2.7k 3.2
Colt Keith OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.7
Ezequiel Duran OF 5.5 $2.1k 2.6
Marcus Semien OF 7.7 $3.1k 2.5
Jace Jung OF 6.0 $2.9k 2.1
Kerry Carpenter OF 8.4 $4.1k 2.1
Josh Smith OF 8.1 $4.1k 2.0
Adolis García OF 7.9 $4.0k 2.0
Evan Carter OF 7.4 $3.8k 1.9
Riley Greene OF 8.4 $4.4k 1.9
Nathan Eovaldi SP 18.8 $9.9k 1.9
Reese Olson SP 15.7 $8.3k 1.9
Josh Jung OF 6.7 $3.7k 1.8
Jonah Heim OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Wyatt Langford OF 8.8 $5.2k 1.7
Zach McKinstry OF 6.9 $4.2k 1.7
Dillon Dingler OF 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Javier Báez OF 5.9 $3.8k 1.5
Spencer Torkelson OF 7.2 $5.1k 1.4
Gleyber Torres OF 7.6 $5.4k 1.4
Best Bets
Texas Rangers
ML ★ · +5.7% edge
+100 · $100 bet · $100 profit
Model: 54% vs Market: 48%
WIN
Predictions
Texas Rangers
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Texas Rangers ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+468 · $468 per $100
LOSS
TEX 54% 46% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.2% 19.8%
6.5 71.0% 29.0%
7.5 60.0% 40.0%
8.5 51.4% 48.6%
9.5 40.9% 59.1%
10.5 33.1% 66.9%
11.5 25.9% 74.1%
12.5 19.5% 80.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversTEX covers
DET -1.5 36.4% 37.4%
DET -2.5 24.7% 25.6%
DET -3.5 17.2% 17.7%
Team Totals
LineDETTEX
O 3.5 60.4% 59.1%
O 4.5 45.6% 45.5%
O 5.5 32.9% 31.6%
O 6.5 22.5% 22.3%
Odds
moneyline TEX 54% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookTEXImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
TEX -1.5: TEX 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs DET 4.1 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs TEX 4.0 BET ✗
BookTEXDET
DraftKings -1.5 +170 +1.5 -205
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Wyatt Langford LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Joc Pederson 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Josh Smith SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.9 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Evan Carter CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Jonah Heim C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Ezequiel Duran SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nathan Eovaldi Starter 5.8 6.0 5.7 1.8 2.9 47% 100% 18.8 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Riley Greene LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.0 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.0 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Reese Olson Starter 5.8 5.8 5.5 2.1 2.8 48% 100% 15.7 —