St. Louis Cardinals
48% win
6
pred 5.2
FINAL
Washington Nationals
52% win
1
pred 4.1
2025-05-11 Nationals Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Riley Adams OF 8.6 $2.5k 3.4
Yohel Pozo OF 7.1 $2.3k 3.1
José Tena OF 7.3 $2.4k 3.0
Josh Bell OF 9.2 $3.3k 2.8
Nathaniel Lowe OF 11.0 $4.2k 2.6
Alex Call OF 9.2 $3.9k 2.4
Dylan Crews OF 8.1 $3.5k 2.3
Masyn Winn OF 8.2 $3.6k 2.3
Jordan Walker OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Willson Contreras OF 7.6 $3.7k 2.1
CJ Abrams OF 10.5 $5.2k 2.0
MacKenzie Gore SP 20.2 $10.1k 2.0
James Wood OF 11.0 $5.5k 2.0
Nolan Arenado OF 7.4 $3.8k 2.0
Lars Nootbaar OF 8.7 $4.6k 1.9
Iván Herrera OF 7.8 $4.2k 1.9
Brendan Donovan OF 7.6 $4.3k 1.8
Victor Scott II OF 6.0 $3.8k 1.6
Miles Mikolas SP 9.4 $6.2k 1.5
Luis García OF 5.7 $3.8k 1.5
Predictions
Washington Nationals
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
STL 48% 52% WSH
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.5% 12.5%
6.5 82.3% 17.7%
7.5 73.6% 26.4%
8.5 66.2% 33.8%
9.5 55.1% 44.9%
10.5 46.3% 53.7%
11.5 38.8% 61.2%
12.5 31.1% 68.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineWSH coversSTL covers
WSH -1.5 31.5% 45.3%
WSH -2.5 22.2% 35.9%
WSH -3.5 15.6% 27.6%
Team Totals
LineWSHSTL
O 3.5 62.9% 71.3%
O 4.5 49.7% 60.6%
O 5.5 37.0% 48.6%
O 6.5 25.6% 36.4%
Odds
moneyline WSH 52% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookSTLImpl%WSHImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
WSH -1.5: WSH 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs STL 5.2 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs WSH 4.1 BET ✓
BookSTLWSH
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -122 U 8.5 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.7 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Iván Herrera C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Yohel Pozo C 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Miles Mikolas Starter 5.4 4.3 5.6 1.8 3.0 51% 100% 9.4 —
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 11.0 —
James Wood LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.0 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 10.5 —
Alex Call RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 9.2 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Riley Adams C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.6 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 8.1 —
José Tena 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 7.3 —
Luis García P 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
MacKenzie Gore Starter 5.4 5.7 6.0 2.2 3.4 40% 100% 20.2 —