San Diego Padres
56% win
21
pred 5.2
FINAL
Colorado Rockies
44% win
0
pred 7.1
2025-05-10 Coors Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gavin Sheets UTIL 28.0 $5.0k 5.6
Stephen Kolek UTIL 39.1 $7.2k 5.4
Jake Cronenworth UTIL 25.0 $4.8k 5.2
Jason Heyward UTIL 20.0 $4.0k 5.0
Elias Díaz UTIL 21.0 $4.3k 4.9
Luis Arraez UTIL 24.0 $5.3k 4.5
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 27.0 $6.5k 4.2
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 19.0 $5.1k 3.7
Jackson Merrill UTIL 20.0 $6.3k 3.2
Manny Machado UTIL 16.0 $6.0k 2.7
Nick Martini UTIL 8.0 $3.1k 2.6
Tyler Wade UTIL 5.0 $3.8k 1.3
Jose Iglesias UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Tyler Kinley UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jordan Beck UTIL 3.0 $4.1k 0.7
Hunter Goodman UTIL 3.0 $4.6k 0.7
Brandon Lockridge UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Adael Amador UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Ryan McMahon UTIL 2.0 $3.8k 0.5
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
Colorado Rockies +1.5
RL · 3.5 off line
-105 · $95 per $100
LOSS
OVER 11.5
TOTAL · Proj 12.3 vs Line 11.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres ML + Colorado Rockies +1.5 + OVER 11.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+497 · $497 per $100
LOSS
SD 56% 44% COL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.1% 12.9%
6.5 83.4% 16.6%
7.5 73.4% 26.6%
8.5 65.8% 34.2%
9.5 55.3% 44.7%
10.5 48.2% 51.8%
11.5 38.3% 61.7%
12.5 31.3% 68.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineCOL coversSD covers
COL -1.5 23.6% 53.0%
COL -2.5 17.5% 43.3%
COL -3.5 11.6% 35.2%
Team Totals
LineCOLSD
O 3.5 56.9% 76.5%
O 4.5 43.5% 65.2%
O 5.5 31.9% 53.5%
O 6.5 22.8% 42.4%
Odds
moneyline SD 56% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookSDImpl%COLImpl%
DraftKings -166 59.9% +140 40.1%
runline Colorado Rockies +1.5 · -105 · $95 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 5.2 − 1.5 = 3.7 vs COL 7.1 no bet
COL +1.5: COL 7.1 + 1.5 = 8.6 vs SD 5.2 BET ✗
BookSDCOL
DraftKings -1.5 -115 +1.5 -105
total Over 11.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 11.5 -110 U 11.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.9 14.6 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 13.5 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 13.2 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 11.4 —
Gavin Sheets LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 10.7 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 10.4 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.2 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 10.4 —
Jason Heyward RF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.8 —
Elias Díaz C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 9.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Stephen Kolek Starter 5.3 5.3 5.4 1.7 2.7 55% 100% 12.8 —
Colorado Rockies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan McMahon 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 10.0 —
Hunter Goodman C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.7 —
Mickey Moniak RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.6 —
Michael Toglia RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.4 —
Brenton Doyle CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.1 9.4 —
Jordan Beck LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 9.3 —
Nick Martini LF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.8 —
Adael Amador 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.9 —
Alan Trejo 2B 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bradley Blalock Starter 4.4 3.2 5.1 2.0 3.1 23% 100% 6.9 —