Chicago Cubs
36% win
6
pred 4.1
FINAL
New York Mets
64% win
5
pred 4.4
2025-05-10 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brett Baty UTIL 34.0 $2.7k 12.6
Dansby Swanson UTIL 21.0 $4.3k 4.9
Mark Vientos UTIL 10.0 $3.6k 2.8
Miguel Amaya UTIL 7.0 $2.8k 2.5
Michael Busch UTIL 12.0 $5.0k 2.4
Seiya Suzuki UTIL 12.0 $5.7k 2.1
Pete Crow-Armstrong UTIL 10.0 $4.9k 2.0
Huascar Brazobán UTIL 7.8 $4.0k 1.9
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Francisco Lindor UTIL 10.0 $5.6k 1.8
Cade Horton UTIL 14.0 $8.0k 1.8
Brad Keller UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Tylor Megill UTIL 11.1 $8.1k 1.4
Daniel Palencia UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Nico Hoerner UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
Edwin Díaz UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Drew Pomeranz UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Pete Alonso UTIL 5.0 $6.0k 0.8
Justin Turner UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Kyle Tucker UTIL 4.0 $6.3k 0.6
Jeff McNeil UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Francisco Alvarez UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Porter Hodge UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Best Bets
New York Mets
ML ★ · +5.6% edge
-155 · $100 bet · $65 profit
Model: 64% vs Market: 58%
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 1.3 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
CHC 36% 64% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.5% 14.5%
6.5 79.7% 20.3%
7.5 71.1% 28.9%
8.5 62.5% 37.5%
9.5 55.5% 44.5%
10.5 47.4% 52.6%
11.5 37.3% 62.7%
12.5 30.9% 69.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversCHC covers
NYM -1.5 41.5% 34.0%
NYM -2.5 31.8% 24.3%
NYM -3.5 24.0% 17.8%
Team Totals
LineNYMCHC
O 3.5 69.7% 63.5%
O 4.5 57.0% 49.7%
O 5.5 44.8% 38.3%
O 6.5 34.0% 28.3%
Odds
moneyline NYM 64% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookCHCImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs CHC 4.1 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs NYM 4.4 BET ✓
BookCHCNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 9.3 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Justin Turner 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.5 —
Miguel Amaya C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brad Keller Starter 3.5 3.3 3.9 1.7 2.3 5% 100% 15.0 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 10.7 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 6.1 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.7 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.4 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.4 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 5.3 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tylor Megill Starter 5.6 5.9 5.6 2.3 3.0 53% 100% 17.1 —