Boston Red Sox
51% win
10
pred 4.1
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
49% win
1
pred 4.5
2025-05-10 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Carlos Narváez UTIL 26.0 $3.4k 7.7
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 17.0 $3.5k 4.9
Rafael Devers UTIL 24.0 $5.0k 4.8
Trevor Story UTIL 18.0 $4.3k 4.2
Nick Sogard UTIL 7.0 $2.0k 3.5
Garrett Crochet UTIL 31.0 $10.9k 2.8
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 15.0 $6.2k 2.4
Jarren Duran UTIL 12.0 $5.8k 2.1
Alex Bregman UTIL 10.0 $5.7k 1.8
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 6.0 $3.7k 1.6
Mark Canha UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Cole Ragans UTIL 13.9 $10.3k 1.3
Brennan Bernardino UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Liam Hendriks UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Salvador Perez UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Maikel Garcia UTIL 3.0 $4.5k 0.7
Jonathan India UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Taylor Clarke UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 2.0 $5.1k 0.4
Best Bets
OVER 7.0
TOTAL ★ · +1.6 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 8.6 vs Line: 7.0
WIN
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+482 · $482 per $100
LOSS
BOS 51% 49% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.5% 20.5%
6.5 71.8% 28.2%
7.5 60.9% 39.1%
8.5 52.6% 47.4%
9.5 41.2% 58.8%
10.5 35.6% 64.4%
11.5 29.6% 70.4%
12.5 23.7% 76.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversBOS covers
KC -1.5 32.1% 40.8%
KC -2.5 22.6% 31.1%
KC -3.5 15.1% 22.6%
Team Totals
LineKCBOS
O 3.5 55.5% 62.2%
O 4.5 42.8% 49.8%
O 5.5 32.2% 39.1%
O 6.5 21.5% 28.4%
Odds
moneyline BOS 51% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookBOSImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs KC 4.5 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs BOS 4.1 BET ✗
BookBOSKC
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -115 U 7.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.7 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.4 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.2 7.7 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Nick Sogard 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 6.4 6.8 5.8 2.3 3.0 51% 100% 17.2 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan India 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 8.1 —
Salvador Perez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.0 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 7.8 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Drew Waters RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cole Ragans Starter 5.8 6.4 5.3 2.3 2.7 45% 100% 19.5 —