Cincinnati Reds
38% win
13
pred 5
FINAL
Houston Astros
62% win
9
pred 4.1
2025-05-10 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Victor Caratini UTIL 22.0 $2.5k 8.8
Matt McLain UTIL 31.0 $4.6k 6.7
Jeremy Peña UTIL 22.0 $4.1k 5.4
TJ Friedl UTIL 21.0 $4.0k 5.3
Christian Walker UTIL 16.0 $3.9k 4.1
Spencer Steer UTIL 13.0 $3.6k 3.6
Isaac Paredes UTIL 14.0 $4.0k 3.5
Will Benson UTIL 9.0 $2.6k 3.5
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 20.0 $5.9k 3.4
Yainer Diaz UTIL 12.0 $3.6k 3.3
Santiago Espinal UTIL 9.0 $3.1k 2.9
Tyler Stephenson UTIL 12.0 $4.3k 2.8
Gavin Lux UTIL 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Steven Okert UTIL 9.3 $4.0k 2.3
Bennett Sousa UTIL 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Cam Smith UTIL 6.0 $2.7k 2.2
Graham Ashcraft UTIL 14.6 $6.6k 2.2
Jake Meyers UTIL 7.0 $3.8k 1.8
Brendan Rodgers UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Tony Santillan UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Luis Mey UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jose Altuve UTIL 4.0 $5.1k 0.8
Lyon Richardson UTIL 4.0 $6.6k 0.6
Kaleb Ort UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Emilio Pagán UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★ · +6.8% edge
-135 · $100 bet · $74 profit
Model: 62% vs Market: 55%
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.7 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.2 vs Line: 7.5
WIN
Houston Astros + OVER 7.5
SGP ★ · 2-leg same-game parlay
+232 · $100 bet · $232 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
CIN 38% 62% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.1% 16.9%
6.5 76.7% 23.3%
7.5 67.6% 32.4%
8.5 59.3% 40.7%
9.5 47.7% 52.3%
10.5 40.2% 59.8%
11.5 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 27.2% 72.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversCIN covers
HOU -1.5 38.0% 34.4%
HOU -2.5 27.3% 26.8%
HOU -3.5 18.7% 18.7%
Team Totals
LineHOUCIN
O 3.5 66.2% 61.7%
O 4.5 50.9% 48.9%
O 5.5 37.6% 37.6%
O 6.5 28.6% 26.6%
Odds
moneyline HOU 62% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookCINImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs CIN 5.0 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs HOU 4.1 BET ✓
BookCINHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -120 U 7.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.3 7.8 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 7.5 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 6.8 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.5 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.4 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.3 —
Will Benson LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.7 —
Connor Joe OF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 4.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brady Singer Starter 5.7 5.3 5.8 2.0 3.1 44% 100% 15.3 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Victor Caratini C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.4 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lance McCullers Jr. Starter 5.2 5.7 5.1 2.3 2.8 46% 100% 23.0 —